| International dry bulk shipping market is one market with high competition, complicated environment, and special risks. Political events, economical changes, and natural factors all cause different effect upon the trend of international dry bulk shipping market, and then increase the operating risks for shipping enterprises. Therefore it is very important for the operating and development of international dry bulk industry to analyze the changes in dry bulk shipping market and get the rules of market development.While analyzing basic situation of international dry bulk shipping market, and deadweight, structure and development of dry bulk fleet in recent year, in this paper the author devotes to the analysis of market structure of different kinds of bulk vessels in the future by way of making economical models, especially VAR (Vector Auto regression). From the result of research, We can see that economical models can accurately describe the development trend of shipping supply, make reasonable forecast, and prove the trend of bulk vessel's largenation.This research can help shipping industry to make reasonable decision on new building & chartering of vessels, scale of bulk fleet, and reasonable operating strategy.
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