A Study On The Relationship Between Fencing Dynamic Scoring And Its Outcome

The athlete's ability is determined by the level of comprehensive training, which includes the physical training, technical training, tactical training and psychological training. As different competitions have different specific characters, swordplay is the competition which is characterized as fast and confrontation. With the development of this competition, athletes will master more mature skills, which may address pressure to athletes, so there are more uncertain factors in this competition, which requires athletes have the ability to master competition. During a high-level swordplay competition, the change of score can influence the tactics and the mind of athletes, and ultimately influence the outcome of the game. In this paper, we will analyze the outcome of 761 single-games, which include foil, saber and epee, by using literature review method and mathematical statistics, to get the relation between dynamic scores and the outcome of games, and the relation between same type fencing competition and different types of fencing competitions, in order to give athletes right predications of results in different situations, so that they can make the effect tactics. Conclusions are as follows:1 By comparing the theoretical wining percentage and the real wining percentage of different types of fencing competitions when taking the lead, we used the binomial distribution model to simulate the relation of the dynamic scores and the wining percentages.2 In the foil competition, regardless of gender, beginning stage and the post-field phase have a greater impact on the game, especially refer to the women's foil event, start well is particularly critical, once the scores start to lag behind, the competition will be very passive.3 Through the Sabre competition analysis, when the competition is in the post-market phase, male and female saber competition will appear higher winning percentage, while the beginning phase of the competition and winning percentage in the Board greater degree of dispersion, reflecting that the competition is more intense. Once the competition coming to an end, in a similar cases, who can lead the score in the Men's sabre competition,that is largely could we say who would more easily win.4 In the epee game, both men and women epee players, in the board and the late phase have a higher win percentage. Men's epee in particular, to obtain the score leading in the Bureau of phase usually have a greater impact on winning games. in a similar cases, who can lead the score in the competition, when we refer to the middle and late stage, men's epee winning percentage significantly higher than women's epee, and what is more, men's epee competitors easier to win, compare to the women player.5 In the women's foil competition, the highest winning percentage appears in different stages. When female athletes have great advantages, the woman saber and epee winning percentage in the Board will be increased in stages. When female athletes in the lead of 1—3 swords cases, the largest women's saber competition winning percentage fluctuations, while the women's foil winning have the least percentage fluctuation.6 In the men's competition, the leading player in the same fraction of men epee often have the higher winning percentage in the middle and the late phase, and who, the first hit in the post-field phase of 13-14 scores, winning percentage is extremely high; but in the men's saber competition,this case only occurs in the post-field phase high winning percentage; while the winning percentage of men's foil event, the rise as the race progressed, the highest winning percentage often occurs in the final sword. When the man leading the same swords, the men's epee players have an unstable winning percentage, but winning percentage of men's foil is less sensitive.