The Study On Financial Risk Assessment And Early Warning Of Ordinary Colleges

With China's higher education expanding since 1999,it has developed rapidly.It isurgently necessary to improve the quality of the whole nation and make more people educatedin college.However,with the rapid development of large-scale enrollment and the large-scalebasic construction,financial problem has become a bottleneck restricting the development ofuniversities.Due to financial grants and other financing channels limited,bank credit hasbecome a very important way for the colleges to get rapid expanding and basicconstruction.Most colleges get into debt in operating,there comes the problem of universityfinancial risk,which has become a hidden danger in the long-term development ofuniversities,and therefore the study on financial risk assessment and early warning of ordinarycolleges is of great significance.First of all,there is an exposition on the meaning,classification,characteristics offinancial risk and early warning in this paper.Secondly,it analyzes the causes of university'sfinancial risk.Based on the relevant research outcome from home and abroad and thecharacteristics of our colleges and the principles of financial risk assessment,this paperdesigns index system about financial risk evaluation from the college's repaying debtability,the operating performance ability and the growing ability.Using Analytic HierarchyProcess,it calculates the college's financial risk evaluation index weights.To build university'sfinancial risk and early warning model,this paper uses efficiency coefficient method.Itanalyzes one university on financial data from 2006 to 2009.Degree of financial risk and assetposition on these years has been obtained.Through the analysis of financial data during theseyears,this model can calculate the warning scores on financial risk of universities,and it willforecast the financial risk correctly,it follows that the mode is valuable.