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Measure And Analyze The Relationship Between Three Demand Factors And Economic Growth Of Guangdong Province

Posted on:2006-08-03Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:A P ChangFull Text:PDF
GTID:2179360155470692Subject:Statistics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
From the total demand form of Mcro economic, to promote economic growth are consumption, investment and net export. They can decide the situation of economic growth. In these factors, which is the most import factor are deserved to study, and it has deeply factual significance to analyse the influences and contributive rate they gave to GDP. This paper has studied the relationship between the three demand factors and economic growth in the qualitative and quantitative ways with contributive rate analysis, gray relationship analysis, co-integration analysis, and the correlative theories of economic growth. At last, we gave the relevant policy advices.Ⅰ It defines economic growth firstly, on the basis of it, we distinguish economic growth and economic development strictly. In the second section of this part, it summarizes the research status of influencing factors on economic growth at home and abroad. Lastly, we summarize the researches between the three demand factors and economic growth at home and abroad. Ⅱ We analysis the influences investment and consumption give to economic growth with investment rate, investment elasticity coefficient. On the second section of this part, it measures the contributive rate, which the three demand factors affect economic growth according to formula. As the contributive rate of consumption are more than the contributive rate of investment and net export, we analyse the contributive rate of governmental consumption, residential consumption, country consumption and urban consumption. Ⅲ It studies the relationship between the three demand factors and economic growth with the gray relationship analysis. Firstly, it introduces the background and analysis process of the gray relationship analysis. Secondly, it measures the degrees of association between investment resources, consumption constitutes, imports and exports and economic growth. Lastly ,it analyses the measurements. Ⅳ It studies the relationship between the three demand factors and economic growth with multi-ply co-integration test and vector error correction model. Firstly, it introduces the theories of multi-ply co-integration test and vector error correction model. Secondly, according to thetheories, it analyses the long-run balanced relation between the variables. Lastly, it tests the short-term dynamic relation with vector error correction model. V It summarizes the mainly conclusions of measure analysis, and according to the conclusions, it gives the ways to promote economic growth.
Keywords/Search Tags:Three demand factors, Contributive rate, Gray relationship analysis, Unit root test, Co-integration test, Error correction model
PDF Full Text Request
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