An Analysis Of Industrial Structure Rationalization And Growth Effect

In economic development, the growth of aggregate economic volume mostly depends on the state of industrial restructuring, and industrial structure's upgrading is the general laws of economic development. The elevation and upgrading of the industrial structure includes highly structure and rationalization. Rational industrial structure is an important guarantee for national economic development. Accurately measuring the extent of the industrial structure's rationalization can provide the basis for a series of the process of change and policy adjustment during the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure.This paper will try to achieve the rationalization of the marine industrial structure from a quantitative point of view, and attempt to make a useful exploration of quantitative analysis. Firstly, the paper analysis the status of our coastal marine industrial structure and problems that remain to be improved, based on the theory of the rationalization of industrial structure. It shows that the industrial structures should be improved and each province should make clear of its leading marine industries. Next, the paper constructs the evaluation index system to make rationalization of industrial structure, combined with the inspection standards of the rationalization of the marine industrial structures. Moreover, it measures the reasonable extent of marine industrial structures of each province with the methods of multivariate statistical analysisBased on.these studies, the paper makes a detail analysis of the structure of primary industry, secondary industry and tertiary industry in coastal area with the method of shift-share analysis including three aspects of the share component, structure deviated component and regional competitive component. Then it evaluates the overall situation of the marine industry in each province. Finally, the paper carries out the recommendations to improve the rationalization of marine industrial structure.The main results of this paper lie in the following three: Firstly, combined with the characteristics of the marine industry and its data availability, the paper studies the marine industrial structure evaluation criteria from four aspects:the coordinated development of industry, industrial technology progressive, comparative advantages, sustainability.Secondly, because of the integration of marine industrial structure's development, the paper construct the evaluation index system of the marine industrial structure rationalization combined with the inspection standards of the marine structure rationalization. Then the single indicator, Hamming closeness, is introduced to evaluate the industry rationalization. The level of the marine industrial structure rationalization is tested using the method of factor analysis. The empirical results show that a higher degree of structural optimization is had by Guangdong, Shanghai, Zhejiang province.Thirdly, the paper analysis the marine industry structure in coastal area with the method of shift-share analysis. The growth of marine economy is divided into three aspects:share component, structure deviate component, competitiveness component.The empirical results show that:(1) in the view of the overall situation of the marine industry, we can see that traditional marine province, just as Hebei, Liaoning, Jiangsu, and Shandong, is more competitive. The competitiveness component has greater proportion in total economic growth, but their rationalization of the marine industrial structure is not high. Tianjin, Shanghai, Zhejiang, Guangdong have more reasonable marine economic structure, in the contrast, their marine industry is less competitive.(2) In the view of the specific marine industry development in each province, marine primary industry is in recession, the development of marine primary industry in all coastal areas is basically similar. The proportion caused by share component is probably around 30 percent in total economic incremental amount, and the proportion of structure deviate component is around 70 percent, moreover, the effect of total economic growth aroused by regional competitiveness component is smaller. Secondary and tertiary marine industries are in the ingress period, but the situation is more complicated and each province and city is quite different. The development of secondary industry is mostly raised by the share component and structure deviate component in Guangdong and Zhejiang province, whose secondary industry structure is more competitive. The tertiary industry development is raised by the share component and structure deviate component in Shanghai and Fujian province, whose tertiary industry structure is better. Traditional strong marine economy province has a structural advantage and competitive advantage in the secondary and tertiary marine industry development.