The Research On Changsha Housing Market Situation And Risk Guard

The real estate industry belongs to the precursor, the prop industry foundationally in the entire national economic system, its moderate and healthy development may support and lead the entire national economic growth. In recent years the Changsha real estate industry has obtained the considerable development. the housing in Changsha develops fruitfully, system reform obtains the deepening, the housing industry status obtains the promotion, the housing market mechanism perfect, the housing construction level obtains the enhancement, the inhabitant living level enhanced, the housing safeguard system has initially established. But at the same time, it also appeared some problems, such as the room investment superheat, the real estate product mix unreasonable, the non-marketability operation commodity apartment to the housing market impact, the developer excessively stored up phenomena . In view of this kind of situation, this paper pay attention to the Changsha real estate industry early warning forecast system research, providing certain theory basis for promoting the Changsha real estate industry healthy development.The paper obtains from the real estate froth and the real estate early warning theory, analyzed the Changsha housing market present situation from the supply, the demand, the market characteristic three aspects , in this foundation analyzed the Changsha housing market froth degree using the house price income compared index, the vacant correction method and the income reducing process three method quotas.In foundation of the synthesis analytic method, we selected real estate early warning target to determine various targets the marginal value and the weight, establishing the real estate early warning system; And taking the Changsha real estate market as the example, we studied 1998 to 2005 old Changsha real estate market composite index undulation characteristic, and selected 11 early warning targets, divided the Changsha real estate market condition into coldly, cold, normal, hot, the superheat five level of quantification target sector, grades the law using the expert to determine various targets the weight, then established the Changsha real estate market early warning system.At last, this paper proposed some advice on how to take effective measures to guard the real estate foam, such as controlling the land examination and approval , regulating the large areas house by tax and finance method, rationally guide the consumer's sense and so on...