A Study Of The Real Estate Item Finance Evaluation Based On The Indetermination Analysis

The real estate investment project is one of the capital construction projects, which occupies an extremely important place in today's social economic life. The succession of the real estate decided by the accuracy of the finance evaluation The finance evaluation of the real estate project is through the analyses and calculation of the financial data, thus to promise the project can go on the finance, reasonable on economy. Right analyze the cash discharge is the premise of the real estate project finance evaluation. In the process of the project, cash discharge under the influence of numerous indeterminate factors, cause the result of the finance evaluation to be changed. For making result of the finance evaluation more dependable, we must analyze the indetermination factors that influence the real estate project, to explicit that through the process of the project, which factors' change can cause the finance evaluation result to be changed.This text analyze the current finance evaluation method of the real estate project in the first, discovered its irregularity is Lack full consideration toward the indetermination factor. At the finance evaluates the foundation data assurance should adopt more science; consider the more overall method of the indetermination factor. Through the characteristics of study the real estate item cash discharge, further analyzed the indetermination factor of the influence cash discharge, inquiry in to change because of the cash discharge that the influence of the indetermination factor cause. Aim at the estimate of the real estate item cash discharge, in analyzing the current finance evaluation method limiting, put forward usage's can compare the building amount of dish to turn the list price method estimate house sale price, and make use of the gray GM(1,1) model to conduct the expenses to carry on the estimate to the real estate item, and the current estimate method and thesis put forward of estimate method is apply in the actual case example, compute the result enunciation, can raise to predict the accuracy according to the indetermination estimate method, can used for compare the accurately certain finance evaluation of result.Through analyzing the indetermination factors that influence the real estate project cash discharge, identify in item make progress process, have which factors can pass to affect the investment decision that the item cash discharge affects the item subsequently. At the certain finance evaluates the foundation data, pass the adoption more science, overall method, we can evaluate the economic performance of the finance of the item more accurately, making policy to provide the more dependable basis for the investment.