Reserch And Analysis Of Real Estate Project Financial Evaluation Based On Uncertain Cash Flow

As a profitable industry, the key of real estate investment is to win their respective economic benefits for investors and stakeholders. That means what they really care about is that the problems of return on investment and how to achieve the best economic benefits. Therefore, the research, analysis, calculation and evaluation on the financial situation is a core work of the early real estate project, the accuracy and practicality of the results are the focus of real estate investment analysis.As the basis of project financial evaluation data, the estimated accuracy of cash flow is bound to affect the accuracy of the financial evaluation results. Based on the full understanding of the current financial evaluation theory, firstly, the paper analyses the composition of real estate project cash flow, distinguishes its influence factors of each part, and find the cash flow that the volatility and the impact on the financial status of the entire project is larger under the influence of various factors. For the main uncertain cash flow calculations, the article puts forward the method of comparative matrix method and regression analysis to measure housing sales price, and establishes a fuzzy grey GM (1,1) model to predict the construction and installation cost. To apply the calculation results to real estate projects, and compared with the original financial calculation analysis reports of actual project, Through the comparison and analysis of the financial evaluation indexes before and after the two sets of statements, it can be concluded that:The financial evaluation results based on uncertain cash flow will be more practical, and can provide more scientific and reasonable basis for the project investor.