Research On The Problems Of Unemployment Statistics In China

Employment increase or unemployment decrease is a very important target of the economic macro-control in our country, even in other countries around the whole world. So it is really necessary to set up a scientific and complete employment and unemployment statistical system to reflect the real situation about human resource utilized at present.By introducing the concepts of modern labor statistics defined by International Labor Organization (ILO) and comparing the definition of unemployment in our country with the standards prescribed by other countries in the world, this paper concludes that the present unemployment rate which is calculated by current definition in our country is lower than that is calculated by the criteria in other countries. Meanwhile this rate could not reflect the actual and severe unemployment situations in our country in recent years, either. In addition, this thesis compares the unemployment rate disseminated by Labor Department and Statistical Bureau with the percentages which are calculated based on other popular standards by some famous specialists in our society these days, what's more, the paper also analyzes the status in quo of unemployment in our country, and points out that there are some serious problems existing in the current unemployment statistical system, which are as follows: the definition of unemployment is not exact; the extension of this circumscription is too narrow to embody all the people out of work in the whole country; it fails to take both urban and rural disguised unemployment into consideration; the index system is not integrated so that can not reveal the severe situation and help the decision-makers to establish the proper policy; the methods of investigation are out of time, so the corresponding data can not be trusted in. Thus, the data of unemployment are not qualified to judge the situation of macro economy, and also influence theoretical research and official policies'in the field of labor economy.Based on all above, this paper tries to design a new project of unemployment statistics according to the actual conditions of our country. In this project, it first re-defines the precise concept of unemployment and then exactly prescribes thestandards to differentiate between employment people and unemployment people in accordance with different statistical methods and objects. Then more indexes are introduced into the unemployment statistical system in order to fully reflect the situations and level of our country's unemployment. Additionally, this paper gives the suggestions to put up and perfect the unemployment risk prediction system.The last part of this thesis estimates the unemployment rate separately in the urban and rural regions of our county. In this part, the paper expatiates the investigation and calculation of urban open unemployment; and then uses the methods of Efficient Working Hours and Specialist Evaluating and Produce Function which uses entirely new variables in order to make the outcome of urban disguised unemployment rate more credible to evaluate the urban disguised unemployment situations; at last the paper adopts measures of International Comparison and Labor/Tilth Rate(using this measure can help us get more credible percentage of rural disguised unemployment rate) and Fixed Capital per Labor(this one needs further research) and Agriculture Technical Requirements and Employment Fabric Warp to estimate the rural disguised unemployment's level. In the end, the advantage and shortage of these measures are compared.In this paper all the research and discussions are made out not only to improve the system of unemployment statistics but also to advance the work of unemployment statistics in our country.