Trade And Cross-border Transfer Of Pollution: EKC In China Test And Optimization Analysis

The imbalance of the economic development may lead developing countries fall into the developed countries' trap of pollution cross-boundary transfer. The improvement of environmental quality in some developed countries is not only due to technical factors, but also its original high-pollution industries transfer, or even benefits from the international waste trade. Thus, when the developing countries develop their national economies, they must also pay attention to not falling into the pollution trap of the developed countries, resulting in environmental deterioration. This thesis proposes to study the cross-border pollution transfer accompanying with the opening and industrial upgrading in an open economy condition, and it also takes a close observation on the economic and environmental benefits that developed and developing countries would in the process of economic development.Having a review on the growth path that western developed countries have taken for more than 200 years, we can find most of them have experienced a "pollution first, treatment after" style process, which was described as Environmental Kuznets Curve(EKC). It is of great significances for making and implementing sustainable development policy to study whether China needs to learn the experience from Western countries to follow the same path in the process of economic growth.This dissertation adopts the environmental Kuznets curve, by modeling the correlations between environmental pollution and economic growth and environmental regulations, to verify the existence of EKC. Then it gives a further study on the changes of EKC caused by the international trade by taking the exportation of environmental sensitive products as example. At last an observation has been taken on the correlations between environmental regulations and the shape change of EKC.The dissertation is divided into six parts:The first part explains the research plan , including the research topics, methods, and its background; The second summarized the previous studies analytically, narrating the cross-border transfer of pollution to the general theory, the definitions, forms, general reasons; The third part states the EKC and its definition, and by establishing a model,it tests EKC's presence in China for the import and export trade; Part four focus on the impacts of export and import trade on the EKC; On the basis of the previous analysis, part five proposes to test environmental regulations on the EKC; According to the previous theoretical and empirical analysis, part six works out an optimization model of policy making, and the countermeasures. It has reference significance for developing countries how to develop the economy while reducing the negative impacts on environment.