An Analysis Of Economic Growth Drag In Henan Province

Resources, in particular completely non-renewable land resources has been the core issue of sustainable development. At the 16th National Congress of Communist Party of China in 2002 ,we Raised the target of GDP per Capita of 2020 to be four times that of 2000. In the Third Session of the Seventh of Henan Provincial CPC committee.we pointed out that :"With the realization of a comprehensive all-round well-off society objective of the struggle,on the basis of optimizing the structure and efficiency our Economic growth should slightly higher than the national average,and The natural population growth rate was slightly lower than the average national .We must raised the target of GDP per Capita of 2020 to be four times that of 2000,to Strive to approach or reach the average national .We must raised the target of becoming the main non-agricultural labor force,and most of the urban population,and Basically achieving industrialization". Henan is one of the oldest agricultural development zones in the country's ,Land development and use is of a high degree. At present the Province's land which did not be used area is only 167 mu. Our Province's reserve land resources which can make use of is a serious shortage of resources, especially arable land reserve. How to quadruple economic growth in the strict protection of arable land at the same time?This issue is related directly with the Henan Province's sustainable development, so the academia has developed a lot of corresponding research.Chapter 1 PrefaceIn this part, we propose the research question and introduce the dissertation research goal, the significance, the research technique and the research mentality, as the opening introduction .According to the assumption of Romer(2001),since there is a tendency for the output per worker to fall eventua1ly because of the limitation of resource,there exists growth drag caused by the consumption of resource environment factors in economic growth.Chapter 2 Model ConstructionIn this part, based on the Romer(2001) analysis and Solo's classic model,we establish the model of economic growth drag of Henan,considering the restrictions of resources.Chapter 3 Quantitative AnalysisIn this part,we introduce the relevant quantitative methods,analysis the elements of the model——GDP,Fixed capital,Land and Human Capital. During his inspection tour of the smooth and data exclude the relevance of the data after, we use linear regression to analysis model by EVIEWS3.1.Then we test and analysis linear regression results. we compute the growth drag of Henan Province,i.e.1.33 percent annual.Chapter 4 Comprehensive analysisIn this part,examine impact on the economic growth drag on the relevant factors,The results showed that labor force growth and the elasticity of land directly affected the economic growth drag. And compute that,with the existence of growth drag,along balance growth path,the growth rate caused by technology progress must reach at least 0.4% if we want to reach the target of GDP per Capita of 2O2O to be four times that of 2000,if we still go on carrying out the Policy of factors inputs which has been enforced theses years. Besides,the analysis of this paper also provides a scientific foundation for the economic growth of Henan Province.Chapter 5 Policies and suggestions, based on the results of the quantitative analysis of the modelIn the part, we provide corresponding policies and suggestions to the problems of Henan Province's economic growth. We hope that these recommendations will provide a useful reference for the government in making decisions. Chapter 6 The main conclusionsThis part is used for summarizing the main conclusion of full text as well as the possible innovation and deficiency of this article. There are three main aspects in the conclusion of this dissertation.(1) According to the assumption of Romer(2001),this paper examine impact on the economic growth drag on the relevant factors,And compute the growth drag of Henan Province,i.e.1.33 percent annual.(2) In this paper, inspected the impact on economic growth drag of factors. we analysis the Impact of n(Population growth rate),land,γ( Land flexibility) andα(Capital flexibility) to economic growth. (3)Based on our results of economic growth drag, we can estimate that with the existence of growth drag,along balance growth path,the growth rate caused by technology progress must reach at least 0.4% if we want to reach the target of GDP per Capita of 2020 to be four times that of 2000,if we still based on GDP raised reach 8% which has been enforced theses years.