An In-depth Research For Marx's Relative Surplus Population Based On China's Actual

More than 100 years ago, Marx in "Capital Theory" pointed out that, along with economic development and capital accumulation, the organic composition of capital will be improved, there will be a relative surplus population.Marx's overspill theory was expatiated most in 23rd chapter of 7th section of 1st volume in . From the aspect of capital organic structure and rising trend,it explained labor overspill in fields of generation,result,character and forms. In the theory it is believed that the overspill an unique phenomenon in capitalist society,as an byproduct of capital society. In the traditional political economy of China the overspill theory shares the same idea as in"capital theory". However, along with the social and economy development,one conflict happens with the traditional political economy. In the socialist market economy,there still exists labor spill. So it is can not concluded that labor overspill only exists in capitalist society. Nowadays,unemployment in China is much more serious. Facing the truth,how to explain and master Max'overspill theory is much more pivotal. According to other scholars,Max'overspill theory is still suitable to apply in China to explain present unemployment phenomenon.Because Max'overspill theory is an extendable scientific theory,and there is also grand practical and theoretical meaning of explaining present unemployment theory in China.This article bases on the analysis of Marx's overspill theory,combining the fact of Chinese,and divides relative overspill into two parts,namely overspillⅠand relative overspillⅡ,and also using date envelope analysis (DEA) to compute relative overspillⅡ,the DEA results illustrate that China exists relative overspillⅡ. Following by building VAR model,impulse response function,Granger Casualty Test,ANOVA and so on to analyze economic growth,normal employment and valid employment,finally we draw some significant conclusions.