A Theoretical Study On The System Size Of Jiaodong Peninsula And Its Application

In the development of Jiaodong Peninsula's urban system, how to control population growth and urbanization in a propriety progress rate, meanwhile, considering both the speedup trends of urbanization development, and the balance between population and the carrying capacity of economic society development, resources, environment and other crucial development factors, has become a hot point of the studies on the region-This thesis, based on the characteristics of the cities and towns in Jiaodong Peninsula economy dynamic region, through the studies on economy size, land-use, population and other factors of the urban system, undertaken qualitative and quantitative research on the best size of the urban system development in Jiaodong Peninsula- The main research content including:Through qualitative and quantitative analysis, scientifically defined the urban system of Jiaodong Peninsula- The selected research scope included Qingdao City, Yantai City, Weihai City, and the fifteen county-level cities administrated by these three cities-- This research, using the fifteen county-level cities as research objectives, and GDP per head as examining guide line, analyzed the current economy situation, introduced the theory of Markov Chain Predictive Model, and established economy forecasting mathematics module of Jiaodong Peninsula- Based on the analysis on the applied date of Markov Chain Forecasting Model, this thesis classified the economy size of the urban system of Jiaodong Peninsula, and advanced countermeasures and advice for future development-This thesis offered a mathematics model for forecasting the urban system of Jiaodong Peninsula, and designed a flow chart for the application of goal function and restriction conditions- Meanwhile, for the urban system planning process, this research offered a regional size forecasting processing flow, and provided quantitative data evidence for the application of the regional plan-...