Agricultural Science And Technology Ecology Campus Project Construction Risk Analysis And Countermeasure

As project administration important component- - risk administration, be one package method and scheme of the problem handling various coming into being from uncertain factor, from 1990's beginning , is regarded highly by altitude of more and more many business circles. Along with our country social economy's further development and the economic globalization advancement's unceasing deepening, the overseas each kind of risk management's theory and the books are introduced China, manages the domain about the enterprise the risk management monograph to start in our country to appear on the market, in the project domain, the risk analysis and the appraisal theory also gradually can apply. But until now, our country's some research results mostly are aim at some concrete risk and the sole project research, like"Three Gorges Project investment risk analysis and theory and method study","in investment plan exchange rate risk analysis theory and method study"and so on, but lacks to the project risk systematized research. As project superintendent, if wants to manage the project successfully, must manage the project risk comprehensively from the system angle, namely should research project development each stage, each link possibly appear each kind of risk, and has the stress to manage the good risk, proposed promptly the risk measure, falls the risk loss to the lowest degree, enables the project to implement smoothly, and can display the greatest investment benefit.The agriculture, the countryside, the farmer question were relate the reform and open policy and the modernization overall situation important question, the party and the government have appeared in recent years a series of critical times"three agriculture"the question policies and measures, to explain"three agriculture"the difficult problem to indicate the direction, has created the good environment, also more and more applied in the agricultural production and the development domain with this necessary each kind of ecological agriculture project. Is the same with the general project investment, because the ecological agriculture project's investment the natural condition, the social economy and so on many uncontrolled systems and cannot anticipate that the factor the influence, will often cause the investment the result deviation anticipated, will cause the investment decision risk and the uncertainty. Therefore, the ecological agriculture project investment's risk analysis is also the agricultural project feasibility proof important link.The current countryside science and technology ecology campus project with was formerly different, its characteristic is the time long, invests, the participation main body to be many in a big way, the organizational connections is complex, the element of certainty also increases along with it. In the project entire life cycle, receives the changeable natural environment and the social environment influence from beginning to end, compares with the ordinary project is facing more uncertainty factors. At present regarding the agricultural project, carries on the system analysis and the research work and the article particularly to the large-scale comprehensive agricultural project risk management are not many. Therefore, this article attempts take the ordinary project risk management theory as a foundation, does in view of the industrial production large-scale agriculture comprehensive project risk management's in risk factor and the assessment method further analyzes and discusses.This article in the thorough inspection massive literature and in the material foundation, obtains from the tradition risk analysis and the assessment method, using methods and so on induction deduction, analysis synthesis, fuzzy theory and system theory has made a more detailed summary to the conventional project risk management theory, and unified the Laizhou science and technology ecology demonstration campus items of basic construction to make certain analysis to the large-scale comprehensive agricultural science and technology ecology project risk factor, Proposed the modern agriculture project risk recognition methods and the dealing with strategy, have indicated the new tendency which the project risk analysis appraisal theory and project risk management further study as well as apply the question which in our country this emerging theory must pay attention emphatically.