Predication Of Housing Demand In Xi'an

Residential as one of human survival and means of subsistence, in daily life plays an essential role. Housing industry not only to solve people's housing problem, but also bring social and economic development, is a measure of a country's economy and an important indicator of living standards. Housing industry, whether on the entire real estate industry, or of related industries, environmental and socio-economic Habitat has a significant impact.This article based on 1998-2007 year Xi'an housing demand and with its related other economic variable's annual data, profits from the correlation analysis technology, screens the Xi'an housing demand the major effect factor, sends currently average per person may control the income, the housing selling price, the average each household family population, the housing price to anticipate to affect the Xi'an housing demand the primary factor; Through constructs the Xi'an housing demand with its major effect factor multiple regression model, discovered that the housing selling price will increase 1% every time, the housing sale area will reduce 1.807%, the housing price anticipated increases 1% every time, the housing sale area will increase 0.513%, the year average per person may control the income to increase 1% every time, the housing sale area will increase 0.212%, the average each household family population increases 1% housing sale area to reduce 1475.617% every time; Based on to affects the Xi'an housing demand each primary factor predict that discovered that Xi'an's housing market five year demand will present the certain extent in the future the atrophy, will drop from 2007 7,829,100 square meters to 2012 7,646,800 square meters. Finally based on the simulation which and the forecast model constructs, from sharpened the residential building paying capacity, to establish and to develop the housing financial system, to straighten out the home price system, the guidance developer to adjust the housing supplies structure and resident's reasonable expense anticipated, renews the housing consumption idea and the cultivation, develops angles of view and so on housing transaction and housing circulation market proposed developed the Xi'an housing market related policy suggestion with steady steps.