Analysis On Aluminum Demand Trend And Investment Decision-making

China is in the period of rapid development of industrialization and urbanization, resource shortages are worsening.This problem has restricted the economic and social development, and it is also our long-term strategy issues of sustainable development we have to facing.In our more than 120 industries, more than 90% use of aluminum, the aluminum in the national economic construction and national defense industry plays a decisive role.The next 10 years, is the strategic opportunities of world's mineral resources occupy pattern re-positioning.The development of China's aluminum industry faces global competition. In order to adapt to and participate in global competition for resources to satisfy sustainable supply of bauxite resources, we not only have to make full use of domestic resources market, but also have to achieve theoptimum allocation of resources from a global point. This article based on the systematic collection and analysis of large quantities of data, in the position of national,in perspective of global,history and development, begain with comprehensive study of evolutionary trends and changes in law of resources, industry, market, supply and demand situation to assess the global and China aluminum demand trends between now to 2035,and a rational investment decisions to ensure sustainable supply of bauxite base on real difficulties in supply of bauxite resources we are facing.Main results include:1) system summary the reserves, distribution,occurrenceof the world and china's of bauxite resources, height profiles potential distribution and characteristics of the world's bauxite;2)in-depth analysis of the global and china aluminum industry pattern , supply and demand patterns and the evolution of market system,and the impact to China's demand and supply of aluminum resources;3)Base on the "S" shaped curve model of resource consumption and economic development, made a scientific forecast of long-period trends of globel and china's 2010 -2,035 aluminum resources demand,to lay the foundation for making investment decisions;4)Based on the changes in the law of commodity prices predicted aluminum price trend in next 20 years, trying to grasp the core elements of aluminum market;5 ) Make quantitative evaluation of the China's consumption, foreign dependence,gap value, import value of aluminum in next 25 years, Determine the parameters of the core objectives of decision-making;6)According to the future demand trend of aluminum resources in the world and china , profound analysis of the bauxite supply problems in our country.7)According to the assessment of quantitative parameters to determine the reasonable investment decisions of Domestic and foreign, make a scientific and rational plan for the future major investment direction and objectives.