Hit Probability Of Saturation Firing Antiaircraft Weapons Systems

A novel aerial defense fire system-Saturation Fire System which is used by high-shot weapon system is studied theoretically for the first time in this paper. This paper includes the following important aspects.1. Series of physical conceptions interrelated such as ideal saturated fire area, saturated fire area. Accordingly, a quantitative construction method for saturated fire area is presented.2. Series of weapon system's errors are analyzed in this paper. In addition to with the help of mathematic tools the errors are classified and shorten.3. With precise mathematical tools give the formula used to calculate the hit probability of Saturation Fire System.4. Through some simulative examples demonstrate the reliability of Saturation Fire System. At the same time analyses some factors which affect the fire system's hit probability.The novel points of this thesis are:1. A new method which is used to deal with high-speed and high-flexibility object is presented for the first time.2. A series of precise formulae which are used to solve the hit probability are presented.