A Study On India 's Military Purchasing Based On The Theory Of Threat Check And Balance (1992-2014)

It is with great significant to look inside on the motivation and its potentialimpact of Indian arms procurement. Last decade witnessed security situation has beeneased up in south Asia. However, it had never been improved fundamentally. Insituation of major great powers competing in this area that is most likely turn unstable.In year 2006,Indian turn out to be the largest arms-importer, it is a pity that publicresearch ignored this phenomenon. This paper tries to response to the need of realityand discusses what the basic motivation of Indians’ arms procurement is. The paperalso wants to keep an eye on the potential influence of Indian’s militarymodernization and give some advice on promoting regional security cooperation andstrengthen mutual trust on strategic level if it is possible.The author sticks to the process of explain basic theory –draw a hypnosis-test thehypnosis and then make a conclusion. The author introduces the fixed threat balancetheory in details on which base draws a hypnosis that Indian’s massive armsprocurement is not motivated by the ambitious to be the largest military giant in southAsia, but is motivated by the sense of insecurity, which is formed in the desperation ofpower gap with its potential opponents. This paper measures offensive intentionthrough attitude scale and measures strike capability through WEI in an empirical wayto test the hypnosis and then draw a conclusion of this paper.This paper argues that balancing threat is the basic motivation of Indian’sprocurement, according to the process mentioned above, which is proved. In theprocess of Indian’s military modernization, Indian enjoys great superiority onPakistan though formed giant military gap with China simultaneously. Indian alsofailed to get sufficient military resources that enables it to realize the goal of “coldstart” strategic. Indian’s arms procurement is corroding the base of regional stability.Firstly, Indian’s rapid military capability improvement upset Pakistan; as itsconsequence, Pakistan had to spend much more resources on military in order to keepbalance with Indian. The most crucial fact is that Pakistan can’t do that. Secondly,once Indian reached the goal of “cold start” strategic, there will be no limitations onIndian’s military action which is most likely to stimulate Indian taking offensiveactions. Thirdly, it is in high risk that Indian overestimates its capability and makeswrong calculations in dealing with border disputes with China. Lastly, it is hard toeliminate the possibility of arm race in south Asia after the year of 2020.The limitation of finical condition of Indian government and arms procurementhow and in what extent improved indigenous military industry capability should betaken into consideration in further analysis of this topic. More samples and morerefinement analysis are expected. In case of offensive capability valuation, the use ofcombat simulation systems is recommended, which is the best way to examinemilitary balance and predict the potential consequences of regional power transition.