Nantong City, Electric Power Industry Development Strategies And Countermeasures

This dissertation is based on the introduction of the power indstry of the history of the NANTONG city and is according to the development and change of the power industry from 1991 to 2000Land also to the reality of the working experience of the administration of the power industry of myself, it make great efforts to analysize anc research the long term and middle-short term forecast of the demand of the Nantong city(urban, Tongzhou county, Rugao county)in the future, and is based on the analysis of its character, it draws a conclusion of making value ,and uses the thinking of the methods of "the PROFESSIONAL DANAMICS AND LINEAR tropic", and according to the answer of the analysis, it uses the AHP method to compare the economics of the construction of the power industry of different areas, and based on the fundamental conclusion, it makes out the methods and countermeasure of the power construction of different areas, and gets a good effect of forecast. So, it will be great instructive and helpful to the forecast and administration of the power industry in the reality, and to fill in the defects of 'paying too more attention to the analysis of the character rather than the value, and mainly depending on the experience to make decisions'. In the other hand, it will help the administration of the power industry of Nantong city to be better.This dissertation is divided into 8 chapters. The first chapter introduces the necessarity and importance of the power industry; the second chapter introduces development of the economics situation of Nantong city and its seating anangement in Jiangsu province; the third chapter introduces development of the power industry and change history of Nantong city to a deeper extent; the forth chapter makes a forecast of the long term demand of the power cf the total city and of different areas (urcan, Tongzhot county, Rugao county),and gets a model of the power increasing in long term of different areas; the fifth chapter makes a forecast of he short term demand of the of the tctal city and of different areas(urban, Tongzhou county, Rugao county),and gets a model of the power increasing in middle and short term of different areas, and the conclusion is nearly the same, this proves the correction of the long term forecast of the power industry;based on the long, middle, short term forecast, the sixth chapter makes deep research to the economics of different methods of the power construction of different areas of Nantong city; after several times of analyzing and comparing the development ci pcwer industry of different areas ,the seventh chapter draws the methods and countermeasure of the power construction of different areas and time; under the analysis of the seven chapters above, the eighth chapter draws a conclusion:The system dynamics and linear tropic model are fit for the long, middle, short term forecast of the demand of power industry of the different areas of Nantong city, andthe model of AHP is fit for the comparison of the economics of the power construction. In order to keep the lasting increasing of the industry and lift the living level of people, we should choose a appropriate time and area to make analysis of the constructions and reconstructions of the power net, plant and demand side management in a proper way.