Analysis Of Statistics Of China's Macro-financial Risks

The thesis takes finance risk as research object which studies up on the theory system , statistic measurement models and policy of China macroscopic finance risk .The author applies lots of data in analyzing and evaluating China macroscopic finance risk from the establishment of market economic system , and tries to explore the discipline and characteristic ,then bring forward theoretical source and policy suggestion for the strategic management of national macroscopic finance risk .The main contents is as follows:The first chapter defines risk ,finance risk and macroscopic finance risk ,then concludes the basic characteristic of macroscopic finance risk ,involving the complexity and multiplicity of forming reasons generated latency ,accompanying of finance development and severity of educing crisis .Finally ,it discusses forming mechanism of macroscopic finance risk from three aspects ,such as general source ,informational source and international background represents following action and gearing utility in the process from risk to crises.The second chapter builds up indicator system of macroscopic finance risk according to standard ,objectivity ,sensitivity and operability ,which includes macroscopic finance environment risk ,bank default risk, foam economic risk ,national debt risk and foreign capital impacting risk .Next ,it standardize indicator by adopting mapping , and applies hierarchy analytical process in determining weight .At last ,it draws statistic measurement models by weighted average method.The third chapter analyses and evaluates China present macroscopic finance risk by using statistical data from 1993 to 2001 ,which draws conclusions rfirstly , macroscopic economy environment is in the safe intervals ;secondly , bank default risk is the main risk ;thirdly ,there is foam economy and national debt risk in China in some degree ,fourthly ,there is not institutional base for forming foreign capital risk .In the end ,the author analyses the speciality of forming macroscopic finance risk.The fourth chapter puts forward the strategic management measures of national macroscopic finance risk which consists of bettering badness capital improving legal environment preserving market credit ,building up available finance supervising andcontrolling system and taking advantages of foreign capital policy and creating conditions to exchange capital item freely .