Research On The Dushanzi Chemical Price Forecasting And Decision-making

The content of this article is the predictions on the prices of petrochemical products produced by DuShanZi.The purpose of the study is to establish price strategy in terms of the predicted prices and make the products of DuShanZi more competitive.The following is a introduction of the content:1.I concisely discussed the subjects of this article,including the origin of qustions,related theories,research methods,the sources of datas and some innovative methods used in the article.2.I introduced the history and actuality of DuShanZi petrochemical plant and its current price making strategy.But there are serious problems in the price making model of china petrochemical industry now,They result in the irrationally fixed price .The root of those questions is the inaccurate price prediction.3.I discussed the price Tendency of petrochemical products on the basis of macro synthesis analysis.I also discussed the tendency of the output,the market and the development of DuShanZi petrochemical products.I proved that Chinese petrochemical industy is on the way up and although the competition is fierce,the future of DuShanZi petrochemical products is bright,4.I analysed the factors which influence the prices of DuShanZi petrochemical products.Firstly I entered on the factors which work on the prices in the sale andmanagerment thoeries, then I pay a great attention to the analysis of thedynamic factors in the price prediction. In the end I put forward a new classification method which affects the price making dynamic way .5.I applied the regression analysis into the establishment of multi variableregression equation model of the prices of DuShanZi petrochemical products. After comparision of the shortage of qualitative and quantitative prediction methods,I establishe multi variable regression equation as the method to predict the prices.I established the model and check it up under the ground of multi variable regression analysis and the collecteddata.6.Using the predicted result make the price stratgey and promote the profiting ability of the enterprise .Price prediction can only provide the price information. We should make corresponding price strategy if we want it to be transformed into the economic benefit.We can use the flexible price making srtategy products lifecycle stratry, products combinatorial price making strategy psychology price making strategy,distinctive price making strategy,depreciate strategy, price changing strategy and the combination of such strategies when it is needed.7.1 summarized the conclusion and pionted out the shortage of my studies.Through a wholesome analysis,I got a conclusion;the price of DuShanZi petrochemical products is predictable and in the same time we can make a quantitive prediction and establish quantitive prediction model .But there are a lot of shortage in my studies because time is tight,the tusk is heavy,a lot of factors have to be ignored, the datas are not enough and the my capability of research is limited.In the end . I pointed out the direction that lead to the improvement.The thoughtway, metholds and conclusions of research which are offered in the article must be useful in price making and marketing of DuShanZi petrochemical products,I believe they have economic and social value too.