Between Investment And Consumption Changes In Trend Analysis And Forecasts,

Investment and consumption give the important rein to economic and social development and they are two carriages in economic growth . But how can we assess situation that investment rate is higher than the other countries and consumption rate is lower than the other countries is reasonable? What is relationship between investment and consumption?To answer these questions, first, the thesis summarizes the theory of investment and consumption and reviews the history of tendency of investment and consumption in our country since liberation. I find that tendency of investment rate in our country rises gradually and tendency of consumption rate in our country declines gradually. Second, the thesis analyze effect that consumption growth promote economic growth and cause why consumption rate is scant in our country recent years. The thesis gives method to extend consumption. Third, the thesis compares relationship between investment and consumption in the world. From process of economic development and industrialization in the world I deem investment rate rises gradually firstly and then declines gradually. Investment rate curve resemble an inverted "U" and consumption rate curve resemble an "U".On the base of statistical relationship of investment and consumption the thesis seeks for the cause that lead to vicissitude ulteriorly.The conclusion of the thesis is that advancement of industry structure and consumption structure induce change of investment rate and consumption rate. Since our country is in the process of industrialization and advancement of economic structure investment rate and consumption rate situates high and low position. I forecast that investment rate and consumption rate will fluctuate within a little scope for a long time and that will last about ten years. Investment rate will decline and consumption rate will rise in the years from 2010 to 2020.