Risk Investment Projects Risk Measurement Method And Its Application

The risk measure is refers in the risk recognition foundation, the utilization theory of probability and the mathematical statistic method, estimated and forecast each kind of risk occurs the probability and possibly causes the degree which loses. The venture capital has the noble character danger, therefore carries on the risk measure to the venture capital project is extremely important. Therefore, the author attempts in this aspect to carry on the attempt.How the this article key research is constructs a set based on the venture capital project risk characteristic union risk measure method VaR thought to be able in the venture capital the application risk measure method, in the research process, makes every effort to apply research technique and so on induction deduction, comparison and theoretical analysis, qualitative investigation and quantitative investigation. First, has carried on the definition to the risk and the venture capital project risk, introduced from the overall the venture capital project risk, has analyzed the venture capital project risk characteristic as well as they the influence which produce to the risk measure. Then the commonly used three risks measure method has carried on the introduction again to the infance market in, has carried on the corresponding appraisal to them, and pointed out they directly use in with difficulty the venture capital reason, but may profit from the thought which they contains. Then as well as unifies VaR based on the venture capital project risk characteristic the thought, theoretically was constructing a set to be possible to carry on the risk measure to the venture capital project the model, to the risk measure index, confidence aspect and so on choice, method principle and step, computational method has all made the discussion; This is the this article most important innovation is at. At the same time, based on a risk size, this article possible application aspect to have conducted the research regarding this, thought may use in at least investing the decision-making, the risk assessment, the achievements appraised several aspects,may carry on the choice to the project, also may carry on the appraisal to the venture capital organization. In this article final, author the question which faces on the research process has carried on the summary,proposed the further research direction.