Research On Commercial Bank Risk Ealy-warning Under Enterprise Risk Management

Under the background of economic integration and financial globalization, the stability and security of the whole financial system is determined by the self- risk managerial ability of the commercial bank. At present, the global financial crisis arose from the US sub-prime lending crisis forces us to reflect deeply on the cumulative extent of macro-financial risks and the potentiality of financial crisis in our country. The influence of the crisis is far from over. Learning from the lessons and strengthening risk early-warning system is very important to keep our financial system develop healthily.At the micro level, the theory requires that risks which are implied in all sectors, all operations, and all sectors in the entire bank be identified, and the overall risks be measured and summed with uniform standards and advanced techniques. It is also required at the micro level that appropriate risk management and control measures are taken on the basis of considering the overall risk status and influence.Based on Enterprise Risk Management theory, combined with China's financial system reform and the development of commercial banks, this paper is about commercial bank risk early-warning study. It includes the basic theory of commercial bank risk, but also the practice of commercial bank risk early-warning. Comparing with the practice of international bank, especially developed countries, risk forecast and regulation and learning lessons of the domestic financial reform, as well as obeying the request established by commercial banks risk early-warning system, this paper discussed mainly on the commercial bank risk. Choosing general risk early-warning model and credit asset risk early-warning model as the experimental early-warning method of commercial bank risk, the problem and potential risk of bank management is analyzed.