The Study On The Expection Assessment Of The Real Estate For Living In TaiYuan

Whether accuracy or not of the city's residential real estate price is a crucial problem,which people whoneeds to reside in a house whether finding one or not.The assessing of the real estate's price can lead to thedevelop of relative derived demand,so as to supply assistence to people's residential demand of theirown.Professor Zhang Suodi proposed the project of National Natural Science Fund《dynamic and expectedevaluation model study of the city's real estate》, the model can be consider of city's real estate market priceseparately from the historical and the expected point of view, in the appraisal of the real estate at the sametime, and maked expected assessment in a certain time of future's real estate price evaluation. This paperselected residential real estate of TaiYuan for practical application, the specific work is as follows:1.The integration of weighted fuction in the probability vector is proposed from psychological expectation.This paper presented a method called integration of weighted fuction in the probability vector.through thecalculation of expected factors in the prine model,it supplied with parameter to the prime one,presented thedefinite procedure to the data selection of people's psychological expectation. Furthermore,we gived themeasurement of expection from subjective and objective aspects.2.Analyzed effects extent of personal expectation from among people dynamically.This paper used the approach of evolutionary game, on the dynamic analysis of i people's expectationfrom among,in the period of t.We found that people would react dynamically depengding on their own assetscondition and expectation cost,in long term,the expectation is independent.3.The system of the database system of residential real estate in TaiYuan is constructed.This paper used the software of mapinfo,combining with distinct functional layer,using the geocodefunction to construct the database system of residential real estate in TaiYuan.4.The model of expectation assessing of the residential real estate in TaiYuan is constructed.This paper constructed the model of city's real estate price dynamics and expected evaluation model,fittingto the current Taiyuan city's residential real estate prices, extracting the objective expectationfactors.combining with Taiyuan's12th five-year plan changes, using random sampling method, selected14flats making the subjective and objective comprehensive evaluation.Taiyuan's real estate price anticipation assessment, can provide with land pricing for government,realestate developers' and the housing market's pricing reference.