Study On Risk Management Of Agricultural Drought Disaster

Agricultural drought is the phenomenon of the water with a charge or demand andsupply imbalances and the formation of less water. It has the frequency high, influence scope,lasted for a long time and other characteristics, so often give people’s production and lifebring great loss. At present, the world scope suffering different degrees of drought, so allcountries attach great importance to drought study. In our country, the damage of drought alsois very great, no matter in the scope of influence or occurrence frequency, drought are largerthan floods. Because of the drought impact on agriculture is the largest, often causelarge-scale agricultural mass production. Further study on agricultural drought occurrencefrequency and damage, etc. The drought risk analysis has important significance to improvethe study area people’s standard of living and promote local economic development.In the long term practice of struggle with agricultural drought, people aware of thedrought disaster is inevitable, only try to reduce the loss. The traditional crisis managementhas been does not apply to the current situation, must imply the risk management, come truethe change from passive to active drought fighting drought resistance. How to effectivelycarry out risk management of drought disaster has become research hot spot and the difficultyat home and abroad.There are many indicators to assess agricultural drought, but these indicators can onlymake agricultural drought be simply divided into light drought, drought, severe drought inseveral levels. In fact, it is only a qualitative description of agricultural drought, not aquantitative, continuous description of the drought, even not a direct reflection about thelosses caused by drought agriculture. Based on industry predecessors and scholars, in the wayof the "problem-the analysis of the problem-the idea of problem solving", and naturaldisasters Index, weighted evaluation method and the variation coefficient method, we havebeen established a risk management evaluation model, and take Shandong Province forexample, the validation of agricultural drought risk assessment model, as to find agriculturaldrought conditions, and correlation analysis in various cities in Shandong Province.According to China’s problems exposed by the drought relief process of agricultural droughtrisk counter measures, there are three conclusions as follows:Firstly, the establishment of agricultural drought risk assessment model. In this paper, anatural disaster index, weighted evaluation method and coefficient of variation method ofagricultural drought risk assessment model: DDRI=H*E*V*C. We find the geographicalfeatures of the response to agricultural drought around the Cities in Shandong Province according to data analysis and a more detail analysis.Secondly, the management of agricultural drought disaster risk management deficiencies.China has several shortcomings during the drought risk management process: undevelopeddrought early warning; means unscientific transfer drought disaster risk transfer method to beextended; disaster prevention and mitigation project construction is not in place.Thirdly, some suggestions to build the agricultural drought disaster risk managementsystem. First, risk control, risk monitoring and forecast level; Second, expansion ofrisk-transfer instruments, to increase agricultural insurance to pay the proportion of droughtrisk management in the transfer; Three, strengthen the construction of farmland waterconservancy infrastructure and strengthen the hardware level of drought and drought; Four,co-ordination to strengthen vertical management and horizontal coordination, and create aunified and efficient emergency command platform; Five, reasonable adjustment ofagricultural structure, actively develop dry farming.