An Empirical Research With Respect To The Influence Degree Of Residents’Consumption To GDP

The past twenty years, in the course of China’s economy development, The rapid growing of Gross Domestic Product(GDP) is by exports and investment. At present, as the worldwide financial crisis and European debts crisis, the consumption markets of Europe and American encounter recession, On the Chinese products demand is gradually reduced, reduce the Chinese exports and related industrial investment level. So the development of China’s economy must rely on the expansion of Chinese interior demand. The main two parts of China’s economy are the Government spending and the residents’spending, in compared with the Government spending, the scale of the residents’spending is bigger and effective. The article discuss Chinese consumption, investment and exports and industrial structure of contribution to GDP at first, and compared the urban and rural residents’consumption structure from the two aspects of general and household spending, mainly discussed how to promote rural residents’consumption in detail.Major research contents:Using the method of Hodrick-prescott filtering research the relationship between the cyclical change of consumption, investment and export and the change of economic growth cycle, Combined with the government consumption, urban consumption and rural consumption, using the method of Partial Least Square Regression(PLSR) research the contribution to economic growth, Statistical described all elements with urban and rural residents consumption and income from national overall, four regions and different income groups, All the elements including the level of consumption, per capita net income of rural residents and per capita disposable income of urban residents and marginal propensity to consumption(MPC) and so on, The urban and rural residents consumption was divided into eight categories and compared each other, Expand linear expenditure systematic(ELES) model can be carried on static and dynamic analysis to urban and rural residents’consumption structure, From the basic consumer spending, marginal propensity to consumption and elastic, analyzed the characteristics of urban and rural residents’ consumption structure, Focus on finding out the key links about the restriction to promote rural consumer demand, Comprehensive describes the current state of the policy support to rural residents which include of subsidies, the construction of social security system, the rural endowment, rural cooperative medical care, rural living conditions and the status of migrant workers the status, discussed the implementation of policy effect, pointed out the key that increasing rural residents’ income can really improve consumption level, and proposed the corresponding measures to promote the rationalization of the consumption structure.Through above-mentioned research, Making clear the unharmonious factors about interfering with our country’s economic rapid, coordinated development, Making scientific consumption policy, the correct guidance of consumer, adjusting the residents’consumption structure, Promoting energy conservation and emission reductions, backward production capacity, and to cultivate the green environmental protection industry, Strengthening enterprise in rural region sales and service channel established, making up for their own shortcomings, Developing the third industry positively, improving the service level and the income level of resident. With the situation of China, establishing a reasonable consumption structure gradually, and driving economic sustainable development really.