| The problem of rural surplus labor has become a hot issue discussed among theeconomists and sociologists. However, how to estimate it, economists hold different opinions,and the estimation results are from40million to0.2billion. Based on a comprehensive reviewof existing document, this article uses Direct Estimation and Function Estimation to calculatesurplus population respectively. The Direct Estimation result is defined as the surplus towhom agriculture can’t provide more employment opportunities, when these men leave theDepartment of Agriculture, other famers will lengthen working hours to keep total output.Similarly, the Function Estimation result is defined as the surplus that led by urbanizationprogress, they are the difference between total rural labor force and labor demand in a balancecondition. Actually, these two types of surplus are convergent as the final result shows, thereare30~40million surplus labor in Chinese agriculture among2000~2010. Furthermore, thispaper analyzes the trend, age, gender, level of education and regional distributioncharacteristics of the surplus labor. |
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