Empirical Study Of China’s Regional Economic Development On Carbon Emissions

With the global population rising and the expansion of the scale of economy,theuse of conventional energy sources such as fossil energy and biological energy,making the environmental problems more serious.In recent years,the dangers ofexhaust emission, photochemical smoke,water pollution and acid rain,include theincreasing of the carbon dioxide concentration make the global climate changedseriously.In this context, the low carbon economy came into being.China promisesthat the unit GDP of our country in carbon dioxide emissions in2020will be droppedby40%-45%compared with2005. How is the current situation of China’s carbondioxide emission? What’s the trend of the provinces’ and cities’ carbon emission? Canour traditional western east division standard explain the change of carbon emissionexactly? How is the relationship of each area’s economic development and the carbonemissions? And which factors of the economic development affect significantly theincrease of carbon emissions? To these problems as the guidance, this paper is mainlyto solve the following questions:(1)In views of IPCC(the intergovernmental panel on climate change)recommendmethods, this article uses nine kinds of energy to make the accurate and systemmeasurement of the carbon emissions of China’s30provinces and cities (except theTibet) during1995-2009.And based on this, to provide a reasonable framework,making the average of the provinces and cities in15years of carbon dioxide asindex,China will be divided into low,medium and high emissions three different areasin order to the compared study.(2)According to the measure of the three regions of carbon emissions,we make ahorizontal contrast analysis and find that the carbon dioxide emissions in low,mediumand high area increased year by year, and present stage characteristics.In addition, theregional carbon dioxide emssions’difference is very obvious and gradually enlarged,the reson is mainly that different regional economic growth and the consumption pfresources are different.Then use the EKC(environmental Kuznets curve) model toanalysis the relationship between the three area’per capital carbon emissions and percapita GDP, and find the three regions in China did not present a significant invertedU curve but meet three linear model, presented the inverted N curve and did not reachthe point of the inverters N curve rising to declining. (3)The paper use the logarithmic mean weight division index method(LMDI) tosystem analysis to decomposition the differences features of the carbon dioxideemission caused by China’three regional energy consumption, and divide the overalleffect into production effect,structure effect and strength, in addition to contrastresearch the main influence of the regional difference. The result show that: theproduction effect is the chief reason that caused the increase of our country’carbondioxide emissions; Rather than the adjustment of the economic has a slightlypromoting function of carbon dioxide emssions, each area in China in recent yearscarbon dioxide emissions intersity have larger inhibiton. And in six departments,regional industrial production effect, structure effect and carbon dioxide emissionsintensity in six departments of the overall effect is playing a leading role.Finally, this paper on the basis of the empirical results targeted puts forward therelevant policy recommendations to reduce carbon dioxide, and reveals that thecarbon emissions should focus on what provinces if China start to executive carbonemissions, making it less as far as possible of the consumption of materials andrelatively low carbon emissions to realize the modernization development goals.