Study On Estimation And Influencing Factors Of Carbon Emission Of HuNan Province’s Industrial Sectors

Global climate change is hitherto the most serious environmental problem. Themain reason for the global climate warming in recent years is that the carbon dioxideand other greenhouse gases in Earth’s atmosphere are accumulated. Thereforeinhibitting the growth rate of carbon dioxide emission has become the unshirkableresponsibility of all countries in the word for mitigating climate change. As a bigprovince, after the rapid development of economy, the industrial sectors has increasedthe carbon emissions. This article get important theoretical and practical significanceto reduce carbon emission in Hunan, conserve energy and protect environment,promote sustainable economic development in Hunan and construct two types ofsocial in ChangZhuTan city circle.The paper estimates CO2emissions of Hunan’s industrial sectors from the angleof terminal energy consumption from2001to2008and analyzes its evolution trend.Based on improved STIRPAT model, adopt fixed effect panel data model, it alsocarries out an empirical analysis of the influencing factors of CO2emissions. Theresults reveal the contribution of industrial output, energy efficiency and energystructure to carbon emission. Use kuznets curve’s theory to discuss the relationshipbetween industrial output and carbon emission and measure carbon emissions peak inHunan’s industrial sectors. Finally, it indicates the countermeasures and advice todecrease effectively the carbon emission.Through the above analysis, the main conclusion of this paper is that the drivingforce of carbon emission is from energy structure in which coal plays the mostimportant role and the increase in industrial output, the restrain effect is from theimproved energy efficiency, but it is not viable to offset the carbon emission fromindustrial output. Ferrous metal industry etc. six energy-intensive industries is thelargest source of CO2emissions, and its emission trend plays a key part in the emissiontrend of the whole industry. Low energy industry lacks in the scale, but it has gooddevelopment potential. Carbon emission and industrial output present a reversedu-shaped curve, most of the industry sectors don’t reach peak. It is expected to achievethe decoupling development between carbon emission and industrial economy.