| With the economic globalization going deep gradually, the International investment and industry scale consistently expanding, the international capital accelerating the transfer speed to developing countries, western development promoted further, the Development Planning of Guanzhong-Tianshui Economic Zone put into force in an overall way, Shaanxi, as a traffic pivot linking the whole western area, especially the northwestern area and eastern area, has already stepped into a new age when the industrialization developed rapidly, the tertiary industry took into shape abruptly. At the same time, the development of the infrastructure construction and industry should be treated without priority. To realize the growth pattern’s shifts based on modern economy quality, it is essential to generate the new round of the adjustment and upgrade of industrial structure. So, firstly the Shaanxi province’s change ability of industry structure should be explored the high or low change ability directly determines the economy development capability and the competitive power in the district. Facing the significant opportunity of western development, Shaanxi province should abide by the economic development rule sincerely, show it’s own characteristic advantage sufficiently, promote the transformation of industry structure vigorously to further the regional economic development.Accordingly referring to the relevant scientific theories about the industrial economics and regional economics, I analyzed and calculated the composite scores of change ability of the11prefecture-level cities in Shaanxi province, found the causes that led to the differences of the industry structure transformation ability and the existing problems and humbly brought forward the corresponding strategies and suggestions, which I hope would bring some inspiration for the relevant departments to draw up the industry optimization policy. The aim of the research is not only help acknowledging the current development status of the regional industrial structure and the change orientation in the past decades, but attaches more significance in drawing up the development strategy of the regional industry. Besides, the transformation ability of industry structure doesn’t only decide the position in interregional trade and division of labor, but the speed degree and growth efficiency of regional economy growth, and it also would restrict the level of the reasonability and the height of regional economy. Based on the abundant reading on the literary books and The social and economic statistical data and urbanization material and the field researches I did,by the approach of mathematical statistics in geography, I took the eleven cities in Shaanxi province as the object of study, picked the appropriate evaluation Index System and the analytical age and built the dynamic analysis of measurement model, applied the Factor Analytic Approach in SPSS17.0technology to dynamically measure and analyze the change ability of each city’s industry structure, above which I calculated the score of each city’s change ability of industry structure. The results show:(1) The absolute level of transformation ability of industry structure in each city obvious has been increased a lot. From the average score, the score of the whole province’s transformation ability raised to1.953from-1.891between the year of2003and2010. It shows the economy of Shaanxi province, as a whole, is developing gradually with the country’s economy development. The table presents, although basically every city’ transformation ability is on the rise. There exists a comparatively big difference among these cities. The object studied in the earliest period that the city with the maximum increase is eight times than the city with the maximum shows the feature of off-balance development is especially apparent. Vertically it reflects the transformation ability of each city’s industry structure ranks steady relatively in the overall score sort situation of the whole province’s corresponding relative level. The table4tells, Xi’an. As the capital of the province, keeps No.l in the transformation ability all the time. It’s always true that the area with the advanced economy and abundant comprehensive strength has the strong power of boosting the adjustment and the ability of upgrade. The regional industrial structure processes the comprehensive advantage of promoting the all-sided development of economy. Xi’an is the biggest economic and trade center in the northwestern area; yan’an ranks No.2but it’s development range is the largest one among the11cities. From2003to2010, it has raised to13.23from6.20. In the same period, Yulin’s development range is comparatively large, which has increased from0.93to6.96. Other cities like Tongchuan, Baoji and Weinan have the relatively large range while the cities like Ankang, Shangluo hold the smaller range. What’s more, the cities like Yulin, Baoji and Yanglin Demonstration Area have the slight change in their rank.(2) The range change of Xianyang, Ankang and Shangluo’s transformation ability of industry structure is generally on a slightly rise. Hanzhong’s range change of transformational ability of industrial structure presents a change form of S. while it’s a reversed S-shaped form showed by the range change of yanglin Demonstration Area’s. The rest like Xi’an, Tongchuan, Baoji, Weinan, and Yulin shows the irregular normal distribution type like that there is a rise first, then a fall follows. Yulin processes the highest peak, Which verifies Yulin has the fastest growing speed in the transformation ability of industrial structure in the researched time range; while that of Yan’an and Hanzhong’s has the obvious fluctuations; Ankang’s growing range is the most steady one. From the irregular normal distribution change of rising firstly to drop, we can see in2008, the growth range of most cities and the whole province’s average transformation ability of industrial structure fall. In another word,2008is a small turning point of xi’an’s increase on the transformation ability of industry structure, and in the following years, most cities’growth range of transformation ability has gradually raised.(3) By using the standard deviation to evaluate the absolute difference of the transformation ability of each city’s industry structure which emerges a J-shaped rising curved line can be roughly divided into three phases:the first phase (2003-2010), the absolute difference shows a faster trend of increase, the standard deviation increases from7.733to8.556, the annual growth rate is2.66%. The second phase (2007-2009), the absolute difference becomes larger slowly from8.556to8.584. The third phase (2009-2010), the absolute difference increases rapidly from8.584to8.812. The larger the standard deviation, the bigger the absolute difference among the inter-areas. It means the absolute difference change among each city in Shaanxi is not very big.(4) The relative difference situation of each city’s transformation ability measured by using the coefficient of variation falls for a period, then abruptly rises greatly, then drops drastically. In general it shows the developing trend of fluctuation. It also could be divided into three phases:the first phase(2004-2006), the relative difference shows the feature of constantly shrink, the coefficient of variation falls from259.01%to241.21%, the annual decline rate is241.21%; the second phase(2006-2007), the relative difference changes by a large margin, the coefficient of variation abruptly tops to234.56%from241.21%. The third phase (2007-2010), the relative difference shows a trend of slowly shrink, and the coefficient of variation starts slowly falls to228.11%from234.56%. It means the relative difference among each city in Shaanxi changes bigger than that of the absolute difference.By the Factor Analytic Approach, I calculated scores of the transformation ability of each city’s industrial structure and go further analysis of the causes on the regional industrial economy difference based on what we obtained above, at last, aiming at the causes and existing problems, I brought forward the following strategy and suggestions:(1) Further specifying the whole industry policy into regional industrial policy to find out the key problems of development of different regions is a great solution towards Industrial Structure Optimization.(2) Following Scientific Development View and according to each region’s conditions, optimize and upgrade the industrial structure treated differently in the whole Shaanxi province.(3) Strengthen the technical reconstruction in the areas abundant of mineral resources like Yan’an and Yulin, Improve resources development and utilization, avoid the desertification and put attention to the protection of the eco-system.(4) Ecological areas rich in resources like Ankang, Shangluo and Hanzhong draw support from the favorable agricultural foundation, exert their advantage of climate resources, develop vigorously Efficient agriculture and ecological agriculture, proceed the promotion of agricultural technology and the processing of agric-products, promote the brand, and expand the market needs.(5) Perfecting infrastructure and market environment, committing in the development of tertiary industry, and energetically developing the tourist industry, logistics industry is the way the majority of districts should choose.(6) Scientifically choose the leading industry and strengthen the cooperation and association among each prefecture-level city. The research features of this paper:(1) Construct the index system of Shaanxi’s transformation ability of industry structure, the paper writer consulted abundant relevant books and materials, deeply comprehend the relations between the transformation ability of industrial structure and the element that affects it, and build the index system of transformation ability of Shaanxi’s industrial structure.(2) Dynamically measure and analyze the transformation ability of industrial structure. The paper writer did not only study the differences synchronically. but did the dynamical analysis diachronically. The writer chose the recent eight years’data material which offers theoretical basis and reference material for the adjustment of optimization of the regional industrial structure and made the dynamically analysis of the transformation ability of Shaanxi’s industrial structure. |
PDF Full Text Request