The Study On Optimizing Scale Of Shandong Province’s Public Financial Expenditure To Agriculture

The basic status of agriculture to national economy and market failure in theagriculture areas decides our government should do some support to agriculture. And, inthe early stages of economic development in our country, agriculture in the development ofnational economy does some great sacrifice. Especially the current higher levels after theindustrialization stage, policy to agriculture is granted the tilt. As a traditional agriculturalprovince and economic strong province, in recent years, Shandong province finance inagriculture spending are gradually expand the trend, from1996in2.766billion to over2010in46.598billion, the sheer specified number increased nearly17times, it reflects thegovernment to the attention of agriculture, it is very good to respond to the central to theconstruction of harmonious society and the construction of the new countryside called for.Estimates of the financial agricultural expenditure in Shandong province, the optimal scale,has a positive meaning: first, can in order to improve the financial support of agricultureexpenditure in Shandong province policy to provide reference opinions; second, can theagricultural expenditure in Shandong province fiscal policy appraisal to provide the basis.These meaning can cause us to the financial problems in Shandong province agriculturalexpenditure further attention and consideration. But, sort of fiscal expenditure is wider,more influence factors, so also causes the result of this paper has some shortcomings, theneed to continue tracking study.This paper, based on the government spending as the center of endogenouseconomic growth theory, combined with the finance, econometrics subjects such asknowledge, in-depth analysis of the Shandong province the scale of the financialagricultural expenditure optimization problems. Full text is divided into six chapters. Thefirst chapter is the introduction, which first expounded the article to choose a backgroundand significance, next to the domestic and foreign relevant problems of the researchdynamic do are briefly introduced, and then points out the article’s category, frame andmethods of the article and innovative point are given. The second chapter is the relatedtheoretical basis, this chapter mainly analyzes the financial support of agriculture theorybasis, and summarize the simple financial expenditure and the related theory of economic development. The third chapter based on historical data for the Shandong province financeagricultural expenditure optimal scale analysis, first of Shandong province financeagricultural expenditure situation analysis, and then demonstrates the optimal financialagricultural expenditure of the size of the existence, and then use measurement analysismethod research in Shandong province in1996-2010financial agricultural expenditure ofthe optimal scale. The fourth chapter based on agricultural economic forecast for the fiscalexpenditure in Shandong province agriculture optimal scale analysis, combined with thehistorical data, using the trend curve prediction model of Shandong2012-2025years ofagricultural GDP, agricultural expenditure of financial data in the scientific prediction.Chapter5in Shandong province for fiscal agricultural expenditure scale optimization faceconstraints and optimization path selection, this paper analyzes the financial agriculturalexpenditure in Shandong province scale optimization of face constraints, and finally theresearch fiscal agricultural expenditure scale optimization route choice. In chapter6conclusion and ahead of the part, review and point out the full text of this article researchconclusions, the paper points out the shortcomings and on subsequent research isprospected.The research methods include:(1) the static analysis and the dynamic analysismethod of combining the. In this paper, the history of the size of the fiscal supportspending evaluation, need is static optimal size, design future fiscal support the growth ofspending policy, need is the optimal dynamic scale.(2) Literature research. This articlethrough to the domestic and foreign government expenditure scale optimization, fiscalsupport for the optimization of the size of the spending of the literature collecting, collatingreading, identification and research, made clear the focus of research in this paper withresearch framework, this paper provides the support in theory.(3) Use interdisciplinaryresearch. This paper sectors including: economic growth theory, public economics,econometrics, statistics, mathematics, etc. Optimization of financial support of agriculturefocus of research outlays to this article will present quantitative sex, comprehensivecharacteristic. In the analytical process, by using the mathematical economics knowledgeselection and establish economic model, in order to finance and economy increasingknowledge instruction model, knowledge of statistics analysis of the financial support of agriculture expenditure change trend, and reasonable forecast future agriculture suchvariables as GDP, econometrical method inspection data, and estimate the fiscal supportfor spending the optimal scale, interdisciplinary research in this paper using get very goodexpression.This paper the innovation points embodied in the following three aspects: first, theresearch from the perspective of innovation. For in Shandong province, the governmentfiscal support spending does the presence of a "compelling" scale? The most appropriatescale? Of the two the scientific answer, will be favorable and improve the Shandongprovince the effectiveness of fiscal support spending policy, scientific and stability. Moreimportant, the agricultural economic growth from the historical data, based on estimates offiscal support for the optimal scale spending can only be used to evaluate the financialsupport of agriculture policy history, about the future of fiscal policy guidance to theagricultural expenditure is not big, so, in order to overcome the defects, this article onagricultural GDP make reasonable forecast and such variables.This paper will agriculturaleconomy development into public economy’s category, with public economics as the basictheoretical tool, fiscal agricultural expenditure the promoting function of agriculturaleconomic growth, reflected the research Angle is new. Second, innovative methods of thispaper will economic growth theory, public economics, econometrics, statistics,mathematics, science, and the fields of basic knowledge and analysis method of theorganic integration of in an article. Third, the innovation of the study object, this paper willresearch scope, most of the research at home and abroad from national level research andanalysis of agricultural spending and fiscal rural economic growth, the relation between theresearch scope wide, and the scope of this article will study to place the province level, usethe relevant data of concrete research in Shandong province, and the specific research orareas of the tribal factions fiscal support for the optimal size of the spending in China stillvery rare literature.