Study On The Engineering Feasibility Of Subway No1.(the Third Stage) In Harbin

The engineering of subway No1.（The third stage） was the new line in Harbinwitch could connected subway No1.（The first stage and second stage）, it wouldbuild the subway from Xinjiangdajie street station to Hanan street station, it alsocould strength the connection between the central city and Hanan city. The functionof the engineering was fast though fare in Hanan city and connection the Haxi citygroup and Pingfang city group. The paper carried the study focus the feasibility ofsubway No1.（The third stage）in Harbin.First, the paper pointed out the necessity and urgency of the subway No1.（Thethird stage） based on economic and social development in Harbin; Second, it wasanalyzed the passage’s demand, and carried out the forecast of passenger flow witchgot the conclusion from urban passenger traffic situation. It could get the conclusionthat the benefit of NO.1line was good and the passenger flow was stable. The maxpassenger flow had the trend to rise. The characteristic of ride passenger flow washuge; it showed that other subway line ride with NO.1. from the result of forest couldgot the conclusions that so many factors could effected the passenger flow, such asurban development-oriented, the proportion of bus travel, transportation networkconstruction, the peak fractional coefficient, seasonal fluctuations and fare. The papermade a sensitivity analysis to those factors. Last, it made an analyzed to the economicrationality to the engineering. Though the analysis the index of Financial profitability,solvency and withstand risks, it shown the economics of No1.（The third stage） wasnot very well. The government of Harbin needs compensation the deficit of theengineering in the initial operation, the No1（.The third stage）could into the virtuous circle. Other cities also did the same things. Though the economic analysis, theengineering could get better level, the benefit of society was better, the No1.（Thethird stage） was feasibility.The mainly aim of the paper was got the benefit conclusion witch come fromstudy the feasibility of No1.（The third stage）, to provide the information to otherengineering.