The Risk Quantitative Research On Precipitating Factors Of Pollutants Discharge In Violation Of The Law For Enterprise

With the deepening of industrialization, rapid development of the economy in China, the frequency and intensity of emergency environmental accidents become larger. As one of the main types of pollution, sudden water pollution accidents caused serious environmental pollution, and there are many causes. The scholars at home and abroad for statistical analysis of sudden water pollution accidents in recent years showed that companies’ illegal discharge is becoming the main causes of inducing sudden water pollution accidents. The research carried out according to the new situation, clarify the corporate illegal sewage as the role of incentive way, not only can enhance the risk anticipation ability before an accident happened, so as to improve the risk assessment system; But also through a targeted monitoring means, set up a more strong punishment system, the environmental monitoring dynamic, make the limited manpower and material resources to get more efficient use. Therefore, the study has an important theory significance and practical application value.Set sudden water pollution accidents induced by the corporate illegal discharge as the breakthrough point. At first, for arsenic as the main pollutants of representative case analysis, determine to investigate causative factor for the resource situation, the economic background, economic fluctuation, policy, and natural, etc. Then, data collection and mining was carried out on the specific case, comprehensive analysis of its inducing factors. On this basis, identify the biggest influence factors among the causative factor by the explanation structure model. Finally, through the integration of the specific case information, it is concluded that the overall summary analysis, determined the main inducing factors affecting corporate illegal discharge for economy and policy.Based on the basic understanding of the inducing factors of corporate illegal discharge behavior and corporate illegal discharge as the causes of the cause of sudden water pollution accident is not equivalent to. In order to effectively prevent and avoid accidents within the enterprise, further analysis of the controllable inducing factors affecting the enterprise illegal discharge, the result showed that economic and policy can have impact on companies’ illegal discharge activities, the main reason is that the impact of the changes in the actual profits. Starting from the principles of economics and environmental management effectiveness, assuming enterprise as the basic environmentally friendly. According to induce characteristics of illegal enterprises, determine to the enterprise scale is small and medium. Analysis of enterprise’s illegal discharge choice at different profit phase, using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to quantify the analysis results, showed that the possibility of enterprise at profits surge phase choose to create a new without illegal discharge behavior at first is small, the possibility of starting production and illegal discharge is great, enterprise also are likely to choose an illegal discharge at the falling profits phase. According to above analysis results, the suggestions for implementation of the environmental monitoring dynamic are put forward.