Load Forecasting For Fuyang Area And Deepening Study Of The Management Of Middle Voltage Consumer Access System

Load forecasting for scientific and rational conduct electricity planning, power grid construction has important guiding significance. Only scientifically load forecasting, to ensure the correctness of the decision. In order to fully carry out business expanding management, you first need to implement a scientific and rational system user access points to ensure that users access the system after power up, the system remains safe, reliable and economic operation, power quality standards.In this paper, learning a variety of load forecasting method based on the Fuyang City in accordance with the development of society as a whole over the years, changes in electricity and load conditions, combined constitute the industrial structure, electricity consumption structure, analysis and load characteristics of GDP and electricity consumption analysis of the relationship, with the average annual growth rate method, the output value of consumption, with an average annual growth rate method, the output value of consumption, regression analysis of the whole region from2013to2015and2020the total electricity consumption forecast.With a maximum load utilization hours, with an average annual growth rate method, regression analysis of the whole region to predict the maximum load condition.With the load density method partition saturated load forecasting, development and utilization of Fuyang City, according to the district of Qingyun, Dayuan, Xindeng, Changkou partition "twelve Five" period, and2020the case load forecast.In this paper, based on the current industry-related management practices Expanding installation requirements, combing35kV,10kV medium voltage, such as user access system management workflow, and focus on one of the qualification, the scene, and other aspects of the program review conducted in-depth research on user access mode selection, initially identified user system access points, load calculations and ultimately determine the user’s access to the system and other programs work to deepen the study clearly related work essentials, and effectively improve the user access system administration level. Combined with specific cases to elaborate.