Economic Analysis Of The Country’s Older Unmarried Men And Women

Family as the cell of the society, and its role in the social stability and economic development is self-evident, but with the rapid economic development and the rich of material life, from the excessive pursuit of utility and value of individual makes new family in the formation and stability is threatened seriously, especially in the form of marriage as a carrier of the family is being more and more impact, the changes of marriage and family, not only is closely related to the values and social norms, but also depends on the economic and social development and change, in which the growing older unwed phenomenon of development and change. According to Chinese family development report 2015, compared with Western countries, our country’s marital status is relatively stable, but instability on the horizon. Among them, the rural higher percentage of unmarried men and distribution in each age group; Proportion of rural unmarried men over the age of 50 were above 2% and is likely to be those who still not married lifelong not married, relative to the rural women, higher percentage unmarried females in cities and towns, has a tendency to increase. The focus on the study of this phenomenon, and gradually become the official and the educational world research hot spot, will tell from the academic circle, the existing literature from the Angle of the sociology as the breakthrough point, less involved in economics, if there are the economics of papers appear, also describe with words or more qualitative research.Based on the theory of information economics, on the basis of combining the theory of social psychology and economics, and explain the phenomenon of urban and rural elderly unmarried. First of all, the game theory and the Nash equilibrium of the prisoner’s dilemma and adverse selection under asymmetric information, is mainly used to explain why the city much older unwed female; Sex ratio imbalance signaling effect and population flow leads to the man in the marriage of the optional narrowed, is mainly used to explain why many village elder unmarried men; Secondly, using the Logit model and the Probit model to empirical test of four kinds of theories, the empirical results show that the model selection is credible, explain theory explanation is reasonable; Finally, the conclusion of this paper: 1. The men in the marriage market in the city the next best thought makes the elder unmarried women in the city; 2. Lead to adverse selection city elder unmarried women gradually marginalized; 3. The serious disproportion reinforced effect "bride price" signal transmission; 4. The loss of marriageable women in rural areas led to the rural marriageable men can selective narrow. Put forward the corresponding policy Suggestions according to these conclusions and the direction of further research.