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Analysis Between The Mutual Influence Of The Price Index And The Index Of Home Prices In Beijing Based On The Data

Posted on:2013-03-04Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:X M YouFull Text:PDF
GTID:2309330362463884Subject:Quantitative Economics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
In this paper, describing the history of China’s economic development, focusing on thedevelopment of inflation and the real estatement industry over the years, Beijing instance dataas the basis of quantitative research between the two and take to curb inflation and control thereal estate development policies and relevance.The first part introduces the inflation series of representative indicators of industrial rawproduct price index, consumer price index and housing sales price index research and analysis,as well as the relationship.The second part of list inflation and real estated development in the2003to2011, andtaken out of the normal economic orbit, government regulation and control policy. In theregulation of inflation and real estate policies, relevance and differences between the twopathways, as well as two control policies, specifically the pathway of monetary policy.The third part describes the basis for the economic situation in the prediction of the futureeconomic development, inflation, changes in prices through2003-2011Statistical Yearbookand related data in economic variables, there are differences of, the existence of the effect ofdifferent levels of inflation and macroeconomic policy tools, intervention analysis model andthe spatial differences coefficient model to analyze different inflation, the role and strength ofthe two cities of macroeconomic policy tools of price regulation, come to the cityface ofinflation, the government’s macro-control policy instruments the intensity in order toeffectively control housing prices.The fourth part is the main theoretical models and quantitative analysis in the articleIntroduction to model, namely vector autoregression model, path analysis model, the transfermodel and hidden Markov district system.The fifth part is the central idea of the whole article quantitative analysis, based on theidea of this quantitative analysis of the basic data of Beijing. Laying the foundation forsubsequent empirical summary and policy recommendations.Part VI is the last chapter to summarize the previous section, and this policy proposal. Improve the dynamic consistency of fiscal policy and monetary policy, the development ofinflation and the real estate industry on track.
Keywords/Search Tags:Path analysis of vector, autoregressive model, monetary policy, impulse response function
PDF Full Text Request
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