An Analysis Of The Influence Factors Of Precious Metals Prices Based On The Gold And Silver Market

Since the2008financial crisis, leveraged operations more and more highlighted.Many Banks and companies deleverage by selling assets and so on. For example,Selling commodities business, deutsche bank transfer marketmakers seats. Since2013,the precious metals market suffered big twists and turns, gold and silver fell morethan a quarter. As the fed cuts QE, global economic development mode isexperiencing a major turning point.First from the global perspective, we reviewed the precious metals market of2013. Then from the perspective of investment bank, first, from the perspective of themacro environment, then analyzing the supply and demand factors, other influencingfactors were analyzed, including the dollar index, US Non-farm Payrolls, the federalreserve’s policy-setting, and the relationship between stock index, commodities,geopolitical factors, etc. On the analysis of the US Non-farm Payrolls, we mainly setthe spot silver market as an example to discuss its effect in the price of preciousmetals. We seek before the day’s value, present value and predictive value about USNon-farm Payrolls, and compare the long and short of the silver prices. Whendiscussing the impact of the fed’s policy-setting, for example, spot silver. We adoptthe method of technical analysis on the fed’s policy-setting resolution2013and thelast of the impact of the fed’s policy-setting is reviewed. In the research of therelationship between precious metals and the stock index, we mainly analyze therelationship between London silver with the dow Jones index. In the empiricalanalysis, the first to spot the silver and the dollar index, then we analyze therelationship between the spot the silver and gold linear regression. Further we verifiedthe volatile prices of silver and the gold price fluctuations on the trend of consistent,with linear correlation. Firstly gold prices and the dollar index is analyzed,then oneby one, the relationship between crude oil, the CRB index, the dow Jones index andthe CPI. In the end sum of these factors goes on the multi-factor regression. Finally,we have the preliminary judgment for China’s economic situation in2014.