The Model Construction And Empirical Research On The Economic Growth Effects Of Prefecture-level Cities In Tourism Industry

At present, the average GDP of the People’s China has more than3000U.S.dollars,it has become a recognized tourism explosive growth phase.Consumerspending will change into both physical objects and service,and tourism will becomethe main beneficiaries industry because of the consumer increaseing.Since thedevelopment of the tourism industry has become an important factor of the localeconomy, the business community and the academic attaches great importance tostudying of the economic effects of tourism industry,and this research became a majorpractical issue solved.However,current research is not much in China of thisarea,domestic research based mainly on qualitative research, constructioning ofevaluation index system for a specific area and using empirical methods to test thethesis is rare, as a basis for the evaluating research of the economic effects ofYongzhou tourism industry.First, the article overview on the background and significance of the study ineconomic effects of the tourism industry, then giving a brief summary of the resultsand progress of academic research scholars and the economic effects in the tourismindustry. This paper continues to analyze the related concepts of tourism industry andtheoretical evaluation basis of economic effects. Then according to the tourism output,4indexes have been chosen to construct the evaluation system: the contribution ofemployment, the business scale, the basic motion of development and the level ofeconomy and index data of11counties of Yongzhou City have been used as samplesof this empirical study.This study applies improved gray relational analysis method to analyze theeconomic growth effects of Yongzhou tourism industry firstly. On the basis ofobtaining each factor from gray relational method, this study continues to applymultiple regression analysing Yongzhou tourism industry and then the growth modelwas constructed. Hereafter, empirical analysis is applied to study economic growtheffect mode by using the datas from11counties of Yongzhou in2012.Lastly, the paper puts forward the suggestions to improve the economicperformance level of tourism in Yongzhou from three perspectives, that is, expandingthe economic scale of Yongzhou tourism, strengthening the cooperation among alldistricts and counties, and improving the management level of Yongzhou tourism.