Research Of Ecological Pressure Intensity Of Carbon Footprint Of China From1996to2010

After the Industrial Revolution, the over-consumption of fossil energy makeslarge number of global greenhouse gas emissions, which make a great contribution toglobal warming and evolves as the great challenge of human society. Today, how toreduce greenhouse gas emissions have become the most important issues ininternational conference, which largely influence the trends of international politics,economy, science and technology. As a responsible country, China made a solemnpromise that " China’s unit GDP carbon dioxide emissions in2020must decrease by40%-45%than that of2005" at the Copenhagen Climate Conference, then put thistarget strictly into "Twelve five Year Plan".Based on the energy carbon footprint and related theories and research, this paperanalysis the dynamic change of China’s energy carbon footprint ecological pressurefrom1996to2010.Then analysis China’s ecological pressure intensity of carbonfootprint from1996to2010by using LMDI method, to find out which factor makesthe most contribution to the fast growing Energy carbon footprint ecological pressure.Finally gets the decoupling analysis between per capita GDP and ecological pressureintensity of carbon footprint.Innovation of this paper is mainly reflected in the following aspects:(1)Based on the reference model provided by IPCC and combined of China‘sactual statistical data over the years, This paper improved energy carbon footprintcalculation model, making calculation results more accurately.(2)Combining with China’s forest and grassland area data, paper studies thedynamic changes of EPICF from1996-2010, which has important significance on therelationship between ecological environment and energy carbon footprint.(3)Adding a new factor for LMDI method, which is the forests and meadowspressure given by population. Results show that the impact of this factor should not beignored.(4) Applying the decoupling theory into the pressure of energy carbon footprintecological study, and with decoupling index to analyze the stability of the statebetween EPICF and per capita GDP, which has great academic and theoretical sense.