The Research On Frontier Trade Statistics Quality In Xinjiang

Border trade data is an important reference index for policy makers when they study and determine external economic conditions, and the data’s quality have close connection with the formulation and performance of border trade policy. Xinjiang borders on the multinat ional, has long border and many trade ports, the frontier trade takes a high proportion, besides, the shortage of statistics experts, imperfec t statistical system and a variety of factors increase the difficulty of border trade statistics, therefore, the evaluation of border trade statistics data’s quality is very important.The first chapter explained the research background and signif icance of border trade statistics quality, summarized and concluded the border trade statistics and research status of border trade statistics data quality, determined the research methods and content of this study based on pectination. The second part defined the relevant concepts of border trade, introduced the trade statistics about BOP models, the GATS models and the GATS models. Beginning with the definit ion of the data quality, combing data quality evaluation method, introducing management system architecture of statistical data quality in detail from two aspects of international and domestic.The third part introduced the organizat ion system, investigation system and statistical process of trade statistics in our country and the border trade statistics quality management status in Xinjiang For statistical organizat ion system, the current statistical management system of our country is the statistical department sends statistical work step by step to lower statistics department, and statistics are sent from statistics department by reporting to the higher levels statistics department for summary. Organization related to border trade statistics in China including customs, statistics, business bureau and other departments make coordination and divisions together to complete the trade statistics work, and a single department is responsible for the different work focus. Border trade statistics are based on the statistics of the customs procedures, obtained after customs declaration for the trade in border trade summ ary. In terms of quality management, Urumqi customs are in strict accordance with the statistical process control system, strengthen the process management, enhance the contact and collaborat ion between government departments and organize the training and other effective measures on the basis of promoting TSD system,, in order to improve the accuracy of the statistics.The fourth part made overall evaluat ion of the Xinjiang border trade statistical data quality from four aspects including: accuracy, timely manner, and integrity, and availability of statistical data and Analyzed the existing problems. In terms of the accuracy of data, the Xinjiang frontier trade statistics the top three digit distribution does not conform to the laws of Benford distribution, trend simulat ion evaluat ion method is also showed that there was some difference between the actual data and forecast data, the Xinjiang frontier trade statistics accuracy has yet to be improved; Data timeliness aspect, the Xinjiang frontier trade statistics monthly data will be released in the middle of next month’s general, publish a timely; Release of the data integrity, data is complete, including comprehensive, has good integrity; Data availability, the Xinjiang frontier trade statistics monthly data will be in Urumqi customs official website announced the public can in time to download according to the need. In general, the Xinjiang frontier trade statistics accuracy has yet to be improved, the data in a timely manner, and data integrity, and availability of data is better. Then from the leadership emphasis, statistical laws and regulat ions system, the personnel quality and evaluation methods and so on analysis of the main problems existing in the Xinjiang frontier trade statistics.The fifth part made suggestions and countermeasures from five aspects to improve the quality of Xinjiang frontier trade statistics according to the results of the empirical research, including: establish the awareness of quality managem ent, consummate border trade statistics management system, strengthen border trade statistics supervision and regulat ion, standardize and improve the border trade statistical index system and improve the statistical method, strengthen the border trade statistics team overall quality.