The Research On Implicit Carbon Measurement Of China's Agricultural Trade

China' s trade in agricultural products is not only related to the immediate interests of farmers,but also to the country's economic growth,social harmony and stability.However,international protectionism in some way hinder China's agricultural exports,once the agricultural products of the future "carbon tariffs" collection will have a negative impact on agricultural trade.This thesis is to measure the actual implicit carbon import and export trade of agricultural products,including its implicit carbon net exporter or importer,country and product structure.Meanwhile,this thesis will offer practical advice for China to develop low-carbon agricultural trade.This thesis,based on multi-regional input-output model(MRIO),will analyse the trade between implicit carbon and implicit carbon balance by deriving implicit carbon trading model,implicit carbon trade carbon emissions and trade structure decomposition.This thesis will describe research findings,the study's shortcomings and prospects for future research,after removal of scale effects of a country's foreign trade structure effect and technical effect of the combined effect of structural effect,carbon emissions in the process,the scale effect and technical effect.Studies have found that since the 1990 's,China's agricultural product trade direct carbon dioxide emission factor and total emission factor on the whole level,but China's import trade total emission coefficient is below the export trade,which shows that,to a certain extent,our trading partner countries with relatively low-carbon agriculture technology more advanced than China.From 2000 to 2014,China's agricultural exports and imports trade implied carbon trend is consistent with the trade,from rapid growth to stable growth trend,in which the import trade implied growth rate of carbon and the volume is higher than exports,expanding the carbon deficit hitting implied net exporter of agricultural products in China,is trade net importers of agricultural products.Therefore,China.should optimize,the.export structure,of.agricultural products,reduce dependency on developed markets,promote the diversification of trading in China to enhance international competitiveness of agricultural products and reduce agricultural trade implied carbon emissions.Meanwhile,from the perspective of resources endowment,China should appropriately adjust the structure of China's agricultural products trade,develop processing industry of agricultural products and improve the added value of agricultural products.China should speed up the development of modern transport services,increase agricultural investment in transport infrastructure,and improve the trading conditions of transport of agricultural products.