The Scenario Simulation Analysis About The Influence Of China Renewable Energy Consumption On Carbon Emission

In this paper,the research contents concentrate on two keywords namely China's renewable energy consumption and carbon emission.First,the paper confirm the relationship between China's renewable energy consumption and carbon emission based on the empirical analysis,then basing on the result the paper use the scenarios analysis,and the paper give some result and suggestion.The main contribution of this paper is on the following aspects.(1)The paper confirms that China's renewable energy consumption has a significantly negative influence on carbon emission.Basing on the previous research the paper choose growth level,renewable energy consumption and carbon emission as variable,besides the paper use the ARDL model to analysis the relationship among the three variable,which conclude that the cointegration relationship exists in the three variable,meanwhile renewable energy consumption has a significantly negative influence on carbon emission but the influence is limited.(2)The paper constructs the system dynamics model of China CO2 emission and renewable energy consumption system.Using the material flow analysis,the paper analysis the causal relationship and feedback mechanism of factor of China energy consumption subsystem,China economics growth subsystem,and China ecology subsystem,then study the correlation between the subsystem,and constructs the system dynamics model of China CO2 emission and renewable energy consumption in the end.(3)Using the scenarios analysis,the paper simulates and calculates the system dynamics model of China CO2 emission and renewable energy consumption basing on the different growth level including high growth,medium growth and low growth,and through the simulation the paper analysis the change of China renewable energy consumption and carbon emission,and give some suggestions about carbon reduction and development of China renewable energy consumption.