Study On The Relationship Between The Population Carrying Capacity And Sustainable Agricultural Development In Agricultural Division No.1

The first division of Xinjiang Corps,as the central division of the western China's economy,is rich in resources and has a large population.How to coordinate the relationship among population,resources,and the environment and support the economic development of the First Division of Xinjiang Corps is to achieve the first division of Xinjiang Corps to achieve agriculture.Sustainable development is of great significance.This article analyzes the relationship between the population carrying capacity and the sustainable development of agriculture from the following aspects.First,the connotation of sustainable agricultural development,the meaning of the population bearing capacity and the concept of moderate population are described in detail.Secondly,the model of population,cultivated land,economy and water resources is established by combining the basic situation of the first division of the Corps,which is the first of the Corps.The data of grain output in 2000-2011 was analyzed by SPSS software.The first division of the first division of the Corps was 10 thousand and 300 tons of grain production in 2040.Through the data of the first division of the first division of the Corps for 2000-2011 years,the population,cultivated land and grain yield were carried out,and the population of cultivated land resources of the first division of the Corps was 106 thousand and 900 in 2040.Through consulting the information,we can see that the average amount of water resources in the first division of the Corps in recent ten years is 2 billion 110 million cubic meters,while the national warning line is 1700 cubic meters / person.In 2040,the population was 1million 240 thousand.Through the gross domestic product(GDP),the proportion of the second,third industry,the proportion of non agricultural population,the per capita income and the total retail sales of consumer goods,it is calculated that the economic and social population carrying capacity of the first division of the Corps is 695 thousand and 700 in 2040.By analyzing and predicting the maximum population carrying capacity of the above indicators,it is concluded that the maximum population carrying capacity of the first division of the Corps in 2040 is about 530 thousand and 600 people.Again,by using the data of the first division of the Corps,the moderate population(PRE)model is established to predict the moderate population of the first division of the Corps,and the result is that the moderate population of the first division of the Corps in 2040 is obtained.About 186 thousand people.According to the research on the largest population bearing capacity and moderate population of the first division of the Corps,the relationship between the population and the sustainable development of agriculture is discussed,the factors affecting the sustainable development of agriculture are explored,and the scientific basis and policy suggestions are provided for the population carrying capacity and the sustainable development of the agriculture of the first division of the Corps.