Research On Changes Of China's Foreign Trade Structure: 1995-2012

Regard the factor intensity as standard, the dynamics changes in China's import and export trade structure and their determinants are explored from the perspective of product domain and market domain and trade condition with the help of standardized tables share of trade, trade surplus year histogram, product similarity index and intra-industry trade index. The studies show that China's foreign trade show a more extensive changes which behavior resource -intensive products in the import and export of reverse change and the high share of labor-intensive products declined reverse changes in trade and technology-intensive products trade share "inverted U-shaped " trajectory change. Further analysis of the product show that changes in resources, labor-intensive products in the sample period is rooted in a decisive role of factor endowments; at the same time, the growth in the same direction of capital and technology-intensive products can be explained as the global division of labor within the industry.Against the basic fact that China import and export trade have volume changes, the structural differences and the underlying dynamic mechanism of the product between export and import trade are explored. The studies show that labor-intensive and technology-intensive products in China occupy a dominant position in foreign trade; under stable macroeconomic context, China's foreign trade show a more extensive changes which behavior the high share of labor-intensive products declined reverse changes in trade and technology-intensive products trade share "inverted U-shaped " trajectory change and resource -intensive products in the import and export of reverse change. Further analysis of the product show that:changes in resources, labor-intensive products in the sample period is rooted in a decisive role of factor endowments;at the same time, the growth in the same direction of capital and technology-intensive products can be explained as the global division of labor within the industry. Decomposition based on standardized tables share of trade, trade surplus year histogram, product similarity index and intra-industry trade index investigation, important evidences for this argument are provided. Research on China's bilateral trade with major trading partners show that the bilateral trade of EU and Japan are of obvious similarities, whose trade structure are dominated by labor-intensive export and capital-intensive products import; while the ASEAN bilateral trade data show the presence of "reverse technology ladder" flow trends and characteristics.