Research On China-Myanmar Gas Trade Impacts On Yunnan Province Industrial Restructuring And Dynamic Mechanism

The China- Myanmar gas pipeline completed on Oct.20,2013 has always been a focus of the world. The main source of this gas pipeline is Myanmar. With Guigang of Guangxi province being the last stop of the China-Myanmar gas pipeline,it travels across the province of Yunnan,Guangxi,and the city of Chongqing in China. This pipeline can relieve the great pressure on our nation’s demand on natural gas as it is designed to import 12 billion cubic meters of natural gas to China every year. This pipeline holds great significance for China,especially for the Southwestern area. It has become the important artery of energy resources of the Southwestern China.Currently, Yunnan province has come across some problems in its economy development and industrial structure. Yunnan should hold on to this great opportunity of the natural gas trade between China and Myanmar and make some adjustments to its industrial structure.Based on the background of the natural gas trade between China and Myanmar,this study tries to come up with some useful suggestions on the betterment of the industrial structure of Yunnan province. First of all,This thesis gives a summary of the researches about industrial structure and the impact on the adjustment of industrial structure posed by natural gas. In addition,it tries to understand the current situation of those researches as well as to point out the defects involved. Secondly,this thesis does an analysis of the global gas trade and the demand of China,expounding the pattern of the global gas trade and China’s demand on natural gas. It turns out only by importing natural gas can China meet its great demand and safeguard the supplement of natural gas. And this study is based on this particular background.Thirdly, this study discusses the industrial structure and the supplement of energy of Yunnan province and gives dynamic and static analysis on the industrial structure of Yunnan province. Besides,it also analyzes the supplement of energy of Yunnan province,finding that coal and water are the main energy sources of Yunnan province with hydropower being the preponderant energy. In the meantime, thisthesis finds that natural gas is superior to hydropower in terms of cost. And this provides an important basis on why natural gas will be widely utilized in Yunnan province against the background of natural gas trade between China and Myanmar.Fourthly, this study analyzes the influence on the adjustment of the industrial structure of Yunnan province resulted from the natural gas trade between China and Myanmar. It also tries to explain the mechanism of natural gas on the adjustment of industrial structure. Using regression analysis, it analyzes the positive effects natrual gas has on the adjustment of industrial sturcture.With the use of survey method and statistical analysis method, this study finds the gas trade between China and Myanmar has great positive effects on electricity industry, gas chemical industry, mining industry, manufacturing industry,transportation industry and city gas applicance. In addition,this study will create a dynamic model of enterprise’s demand on natural gas from the microcosmic standpoint of enterprise. After that, this study discusses the influence on the adjustment of industrial structure of Yanglin Industrial Park caused by the natural gas trade between China and Myanmar. Lastly,based on the current situation of Yunnan province, this study draws on the successful experience of other countries and provide some suggestions on the adjustment of industrial structure of Yunnan province against the background of gas trade between China and Myanmar.