| Since 2006,China has been the largest emitter of carbon dioxide in the world.It is urgent to reduce carbon dioxide emissions in china.The most effective way to reduce carbon dioxide emissions is to establish a national carbon emissions trading market,using market-based measures to achieve emission reduction tasks.In this paper,carbon dioxide emissions are taken as an input factor of CES production function,and carbon emissions trading CGE model is constructed on this basis.This paper sets up 9 policy scenarios from two perspectives: total carbon emission quota and quota allocation mode,and analyzes the dynamic impact of carbon emissions trading system on China’s macro economy and the impact on GDP losses.From the perspective of the total amount of quotas,carbon emissions trading system has a negative impact on China’s macro economy,from the time dimension,the negative impact of showing "U" type structure,which is a negative impact on China’s macro economy more and more small;from the perspective of emission reduction,emission reduction rate is higher,the greater negative impact on the Jinan;panel regression quantitative analysis show that the relationship between carbon emission and GDP loss,our country each reduce one hundred million tons of carbon dioxide emissions,there will be a corresponding loss of 778 billion 200 million yuan GDP.From the perspective of quota allocation,the negative impact of the carbon emissions trading system also has a "U" type structure of China’s macro economy,and the higher the auction quotas,a negative impact on macroeconomic more;panel regression analysis results,the quota allocation rate is high,GDP loss is smaller.At this stage,China’s carbon emission reduction of the negative impact on the macroeconomic is getting smaller and smaller,but the cost of emission reduction is still very large.China can gradually establish a national carbon emissions trading market,improve carbon emissions trading system,reduce carbon dioxide emissions,and build a beautiful china. |
