A Study Of Glodwind Science&Technique.Ltd Wind Power Industry Development Based On System Dynamics

With the global problems of fossil energy depletion,climate changing and environmental pollution worsening,the renewable energy will be gradually becoming the world important strategy to solve the problems of energy crisis and environment.Our country has rich wind resources and wind turbines manufacturing technology has matured gradually,and the construction cost of wind power plant has down quickly,so all the conditions provides the most opportunity for the wind power development.When the renewable energy law had implemented in 2006,it made the wind power entered the stage of standardization and programming.Also,our country has become the first of the world wind power total installed capacity by 2010.Firstly,it describes an overview of the world wind power of development status,then introduce the development of our country in details.It including the distribution of wind energy resources,the development of wind installed capacity and the development of wind turbines manufacturing industry situations,and provide a series of supporting policies for the wind power industry development in our country,etc.Secondly,the wind turbines manufacturers of Glodwind science&technique co.,Ltd.as the researching object and using the dynamic system to establish the development of wind power system model.The wind power system has included the installed capacity system and wind power electricity price system,the subsystem based on causality and the system structure analysis.The installed capacity subsystem included profit,investment,technology research and development,labors and wind power demand five factors,the wind power electricity price subsystem has included power demand and wind power electricity two factors.The two subsystems through the mutual influence between each factors and the system model of Jinfeng wind power was established,then through model sensitivity inspection and conform to the model requirements.Finally,the model initial values has based on the data in 2014,It forecast the Jinfeng company cdevelopment tendency of wind power total installed capacities and the wind power electricity price from 2015 to 2025.And through the model,we can forecast our country wind power industry development from 2015 to 2025.Design the different programs through modulating variables parameter values and compared the different programs for wind power development.In accordance with the principle of optimal allocation of resources,and then put forward the optimization programs to provide reference for wind power manufacturing enterprises and wind power industry development in the next 15 years.Finally,summarizes research conclusion and look forward to research of wind power development.