The Analysis And Forecasting Of Real Estate Market

With the cancel of welfare housing system,monetize housing distribution and monetize housing market,house industry develop since 1990 s.Now housing industry has become the national economy mainstay industry.For citizens,Housing is not only the essential products,but also perfect investors.As the model of performing C hinese opening up and reform policy and the center of C hinese economic center,Shenzhen’s housing price increase rapid with the rapid development of economy.The article analyze the factors that influence the Shenzhen housing price,study the prediction method and correspond policy.The main study context can be divided into three parts.Firstly,The change of Shenzhen housing price is analyzed qualitatively.O n the introduce of iconic time of Shenzhen housing development and the housing development history,combine with housing price theory,regularity and character.Factors and indicators that influence the development of Shenzhen housing development is analyzed from Macro-Economic Policy and Micro-Economic Policy.The indicators is carried on correlation analysis and principal component analysis.Secondly,the article predicts Shenzhen housing price change tendency.Combine with neural network and grey function grey neural network is constructed and employed to predict the change tendency of Shenzhen housing price.Lastly,according to recent ten-years regulatory policies and regulatory effect,the article discusses future regulatory policies which can control the rapid increase of housing price.The study of the article shows that grey function and grey network can predict Shenzhen housing price precisely.So it provides a new method for local housing price prediction.