| Real estate is economy in the most based of industry, especially in recent years nationalissued has many specification real estate industry health active forward of macro policy, in this case Xia opportunities and risk is coexist of, although policy of issued conducive to real estate industry of specification, curb has bad of speculation fried room, behavior, but with market increasingly big, prices increasingly high, corresponding of risk has gradually exposed,so policy of regulation virtually increased has real estate of investment risk. In addition, the real estate investment scale big, upfront investment and the time span of the project, once the investment decision making, in the course of project implementation is mostly irreversible,requires a wide range of research prior to a real estate investment.In recent years, with the development of urban complex heat rising, the city complex project project exists a variety of property forms, combinations of various formats,the investment in the development of the order and the construction scheme also need multi-level analysis and evaluation. Because when making decision evaluation, decision-making more projects be affected factors, not through the single index to assess. And this kind of evaluation requires not only through the qualitative analysis, more need more quantitative analysis. So we need to find a new way to multi-angle multi-level to solve the problem of complex real estate project investment decision-making difficulties.As the real estate development matures, developers make a scientific decision is very necessary. Because the right decision can not only help developers to achieve maximum benefit, continues to innovate and have the core competitiveness of enterprises.Meanwhile, with the shift from single residential projects to commercial real estate projects to complex real estate projects, the types of complex real estate projects in different cities are affected by different, with a variety of risks, so in this case the enterprise The need to strengthen risk management, the real estate industry needs more systematic and comprehensive management system, decision-making means and systems more scientific,which for the subsequent scholars to provide a good research direction.Through the exploration of this subject, this paper analyzes the risk factors that need attention in real estate investment process, and according to the corresponding methods,compares their advantages and disadvantages, chooses the method suitable for real estate investment project risk control, and finally selects the fuzzy hierarchy The analysis is appliedto practical cases. In the concrete complex forms of construction scheme choice, adopted fuzzy hierarchy analysis process(FAHP) to evaluate the decision and risk analysisIn this paper, we used FAHP to make decision on real estate investment project. Firstly,we determine the risk index according to the method of qualitative and quantitative analysis,determine the weight of risk according to the analytic hierarchy process and sort the risk according to the importance. Then the comprehensive evaluation model is established, and the fuzzy mathematics method is used to evaluate synthetically. Finally returned to the investment project itself, according to the result of comprehensive evaluation, the choice of various solutions not only to have more reference value, more will be various risks impact on the project numerical value, enhance the understanding of the project. Taking into account the rationality and feasibility of evaluating the project investment, avoiding any risk in the project,a series of calculation of the project to calculate the results is feasible. |
